Ottawa Lutins Playoff Chances 2011-2012Lost to Montreal 1-3, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.1% 34 points 14 24-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Washington vs Ottawa | -0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 38 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 27 | 46 | 26 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 152 | | 93 | | 28 | 7 | - | 3 | In | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | 2 | * | 92 | | 27 | 7 | - | 4 | In | | | | | 40 | 40 | 20 | | | | | | 5 | * | 91 | | 26 | 7 | - | 5 | 87.5 | % | | | | | | 63 | 25 | | 13 | | | | 8 | * | 90 | | 26 | 8 | - | 4 | 81.3 | | | | | | 13 | 19 | 38 | 13 | 19 | | | | 16 | * | 89 | | 25 | 8 | - | 5 | 82.9 | | | | | | 2 | 2 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 2 | | | 41 | * | 88 | | 24 | 8 | - | 6 | 83.1 | | | | | | | 8 | 32 | 43 | 15 | 2 | | | 65 | * | 87 | | 24 | 9 | - | 5 | 66.4 | | | | | | | 4 | 18 | 45 | 28 | 6 | | | 137 | * | 86 | | 24 | 10 | - | 4 | 53.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 40 | 34 | 12 | | | 307 | * | 85 | | 23 | 10 | - | 5 | 37.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 20 | | | 561 | * | 84 | | 22 | 10 | - | 6 | 23.4 | | | | | | | | 3 | 21 | 47 | 28 | 2 | | 966 | * | 83 | | 22 | 11 | - | 5 | 14.7 | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 43 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 1,648 | * | 82 | | 21 | 11 | - | 6 | 7.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 37 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 2,684 | * | 81 | | 21 | 12 | - | 5 | 4.0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 4,453 | * | 80 | | 20 | 12 | - | 6 | 1.9 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 19 | 1 | 6,897 | * | 79 | | 20 | 13 | - | 5 | 0.9 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 26 | 3 | 10,339 | * | 78 | | 19 | 13 | - | 6 | 0.3 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 5 | 14,880 | * | 77 | | 19 | 14 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 46 | 41 | 9 | 20,842 | * | 76 | | 18 | 14 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 38 | 46 | 14 | 28,210 | * | 75 | | 18 | 15 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 29 | 50 | 20 | 37,271 | * | 74 | | 17 | 15 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 21 | 51 | 27 | 47,362 | * | 73 | | 17 | 16 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 15 | 49 | 36 | 58,380 | * | 72 | | 16 | 16 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 69,526 | * | 71 | | 16 | 17 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 39 | 54 | 80,689 | * | 70 | | 15 | 17 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 33 | 64 | 51,223 | * | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 34 | 62 | 39,116 | * | 69 | | 15 | 18 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | 98,381 | * | 68 | | 14 | 18 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 56,905 | * | | 15 | 19 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 77 | 47,343 | * | 67 | | 14 | 19 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 84 | 67,939 | * | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 84 | 38,277 | * | 66 | | 13 | 19 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 88 | 67,925 | * | | 12 | 18 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 37,131 | * | 65 | | 13 | 20 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 64,221 | * | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 36,203 | * | 64 | | 12 | 20 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 92,783 | * | 63 | | 12 | 21 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 82,957 | * | 62 | | 11 | 21 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 72,641 | * | 61 | | 11 | 22 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 60,705 | * | 60 | | 10 | 22 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 48,999 | * | 59 | | 10 | 23 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 38,361 | * | 58 | | 10 | 24 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 28,932 | * | 57 | | 9 | 24 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 21,109 | * | 56 | | 9 | 25 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 14,918 | * | 55 | | 8 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 9,900 | * | 54 | | 8 | 26 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 6,353 | * | 53 | | 7 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 4,009 | * | 52 | | 7 | 27 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 2,369 | * | 51 | | 6 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,348 | * | 34 | -50 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1,636 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 73 | 1,477,125 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 | +0.1 | | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Washington vs Ottawa | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 38 | 0 | - | 0 | 18 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 28 | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 27 | 7 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 40 | | 40 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 26 | 7 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | 13 | 13 | | | 13 | | | | | | | | 90 | | 26 | 8 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 19 | | | | | | | | 89 | | 25 | 8 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 2 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 7 | 12 | 5 | | | | | | | 88 | | 24 | 8 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 2 | 31 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 2 | | | | | | | 87 | | 24 | 9 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 20 | 26 | 7 | | | | | | | 86 | | 24 | 10 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 13 | 20 | 20 | 33 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | 85 | | 23 | 10 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 9 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 22 | 2 | | | | | | 84 | | 22 | 10 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 5 | 15 | 39 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 83 | | 22 | 11 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 38 | 13 | 1 | | | | | 82 | | 21 | 11 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 46 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | | 81 | | 21 | 12 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 20 | 12 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | 79 | | 20 | 13 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | 78 | | 19 | 13 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | | | 77 | | 19 | 14 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | | | 76 | | 18 | 14 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 15 | 1 | | | 75 | | 18 | 15 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | 74 | | 17 | 15 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0 | | 73 | | 17 | 16 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 0 | | 72 | | 16 | 16 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 32 | 44 | 17 | 0 | | 71 | | 16 | 17 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 24 | 0 | | 70 | | 15 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 33 | 1 | | 69 | | 15 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 1 | | 68 | | 14 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 53 | 2 | | 67 | | 14 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 61 | 4 | | 66 | | 13 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 67 | 7 | | 65 | | 13 | 20 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 72 | 10 | 0 | 64 | | 12 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 63 | | 12 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 72 | 21 | | 62 | | 11 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 69 | 27 | | 61 | | 11 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 64 | 33 | 0 | 60 | | 10 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 57 | 41 | 0 | 59 | | 10 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 50 | 49 | 0 | 58 | | 10 | 24 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 44 | 56 | 0 | 57 | | 9 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 36 | 64 | 0 | 56 | | 9 | 25 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 29 | 71 | 0 | 55 | | 8 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 23 | 76 | 0 | 54 | | 8 | 26 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | 1 | 53 | | 7 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 85 | 1 | 52 | | 7 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 89 | 2 | 51 | | 6 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 90 | 2 | 50 | | 6 | 28 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 89 | 6 | 49 | | 6 | 29 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 92 | 6 | 48 | | 5 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 90 | 9 | 47 | | 4 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 85 | 14 | 46 | | 4 | 30 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | 7 | 45 | | 3 | 30 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | 12 | 44 | | 3 | 31 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 43 | | 3 | 32 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 42 | | 2 | 32 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 34 | | 0 | 38 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
|