Long Island The Marines Playoff Chances 2011-2012Lost to Toronto 5-6 (so), playoff odds down 0.007 to 5.6% 40 points 18 21-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | -0.2 | | | | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Long Island vs Miami | +2.1+2.1+2.2*+0.0*-0.1-1.5 | | +0.2+0.2+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Calgary vs Philadelphie | +0.4*-0.0*-0.0-0.6-0.5-0.4 | | | | Washington vs Ottawa | -0.2-0.2*-0.2*+0.2*+0.1+0.5 | | | | Tampa vs Seattle | -0.1*-0.2*-0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Long Island finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 39 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 152 | | 102 | | 28 | 5 | - | 6 | In | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | 3 | * | 101 | | 29 | 7 | - | 3 | In | | | 11 | 67 | 22 | | | | | | | | 9 | * | 100 | | 28 | 7 | - | 4 | In | | | 31 | 46 | 23 | | | | | | | | 13 | * | 99 | | 27 | 7 | - | 5 | In | | 3 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 3 | | | | | | | 29 | * | 98 | | 27 | 8 | - | 4 | In | | | 12 | 35 | 44 | 10 | | | | | | | 78 | * | 97 | | 26 | 8 | - | 5 | In | | | 1 | 30 | 45 | 19 | 4 | 1 | | | | | 135 | * | 96 | | 25 | 8 | - | 6 | In | | | 3 | 14 | 48 | 31 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 271 | * | 95 | | 25 | 9 | - | 5 | In | | | 1 | 13 | 43 | 34 | 8 | 1 | | | | | 485 | * | 94 | | 25 | 10 | - | 4 | 99.8 | % | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | 858 | * | 93 | | 24 | 10 | - | 5 | 99.4 | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 1 | | | | 1,595 | * | 92 | | 24 | 11 | - | 4 | 97.7 | | | | | 1 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | 2,493 | * | 91 | | 23 | 11 | - | 5 | 95.2 | | | | | 1 | 6 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | | 3,997 | * | 90 | | 23 | 12 | - | 4 | 90.2 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 1 | | | 6,242 | * | 89 | | 22 | 12 | - | 5 | 80.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 2 | | | 9,376 | * | 88 | | 21 | 12 | - | 6 | 68.6 | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 6 | | | 13,616 | * | 87 | | 21 | 13 | - | 5 | 54.8 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 0 | | 18,769 | * | 86 | | 20 | 13 | - | 6 | 40.9 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 0 | | 25,948 | * | 85 | | 20 | 14 | - | 5 | 27.6 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 45 | 27 | 0 | | 34,287 | * | 84 | | 19 | 14 | - | 6 | 17.5 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 37 | 1 | | 43,401 | * | 83 | | 19 | 15 | - | 5 | 10.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 48 | 2 | | 53,842 | * | 82 | | 18 | 15 | - | 6 | 5.5 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 64,980 | * | 81 | | 18 | 16 | - | 5 | 2.7 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 66 | 6 | 0 | 75,900 | * | 80 | | 17 | 16 | - | 6 | 1.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 85,423 | * | 79 | | 17 | 17 | - | 5 | 0.5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 72 | 14 | 0 | 93,442 | * | 78 | | 16 | 17 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 72 | 20 | 0 | 99,388 | * | 77 | | 16 | 18 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 1 | 102,684 | * | 76 | | 15 | 18 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 2 | 102,535 | * | 75 | | 15 | 19 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 55 | 41 | 3 | 100,441 | * | 74 | | 14 | 19 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 47 | 47 | 5 | 94,654 | * | 73 | | 14 | 20 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 39 | 53 | 8 | 86,749 | * | 72 | | 13 | 20 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 31 | 57 | 12 | 76,336 | * | 71 | | 13 | 21 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 23 | 59 | 18 | 65,660 | * | 70 | | 13 | 22 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 58 | 25 | 54,288 | * | 69 | | 12 | 22 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 56 | 32 | 43,841 | * | 68 | | 12 | 23 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 52 | 40 | 33,871 | * | 67 | | 11 | 23 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 46 | 49 | 25,643 | * | 66 | | 11 | 24 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 39 | 58 | 18,717 | * | 65 | | 10 | 24 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 33 | 65 | 13,010 | * | 64 | | 10 | 25 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 24 | 75 | 9,071 | * | 63 | | 9 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 18 | 81 | 5,825 | * | 62 | | 9 | 26 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 15 | 85 | 3,630 | * | 61 | | 8 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 90 | 2,292 | * | 60 | | 8 | 27 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 1,366 | * | 59 | | 7 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 805 | * | 58 | | 7 | 28 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 431 | * | 57 | | 6 | 28 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 190 | * | 56 | | 6 | 29 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 99 | * | 55 | | 6 | 30 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 62 | * | 40 | -54 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 193 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.6 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 45 | 29 | 9 | 1,477,125 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | +0.0 | | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | -0.0 | | Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Long Island vs Miami | -0.3-0.3-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 39 | 0 | - | 0 | 89 | 1 | 8 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 28 | 5 | - | 6 | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 29 | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | 11 | 44 | 22 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 28 | 7 | - | 4 | | | | | 8 | 23 | 31 | 15 | 15 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 27 | 7 | - | 5 | | | | 3 | | 10 | 17 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 27 | 8 | - | 4 | | | | | | 12 | 3 | 32 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 26 | 8 | - | 5 | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 25 | 8 | - | 6 | | | | | | 3 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 4 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 25 | 9 | - | 5 | | | | | | 1 | | 13 | 4 | 39 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 25 | 10 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 24 | 10 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | 92 | | 24 | 11 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 91 | | 23 | 11 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 25 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 23 | 12 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | 89 | | 22 | 12 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 88 | | 21 | 12 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 24 | 16 | 25 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | 87 | | 21 | 13 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 33 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | 86 | | 20 | 13 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 38 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 85 | | 20 | 14 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 40 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 84 | | 19 | 14 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 39 | 7 | 0 | | | | | 83 | | 19 | 15 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 47 | 13 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 18 | 15 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 51 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | 81 | | 18 | 16 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 30 | 3 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 17 | 16 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 0 | | | | 79 | | 17 | 17 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | 78 | | 16 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | 77 | | 16 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 52 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | 76 | | 15 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 49 | 31 | 5 | 0 | | | 75 | | 15 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 9 | 0 | | | 74 | | 14 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | 73 | | 14 | 20 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | 72 | | 13 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 0 | | 71 | | 13 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 0 | | 70 | | 13 | 22 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 14 | 0 | | 69 | | 12 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 48 | 20 | 0 | | 68 | | 12 | 23 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 29 | 1 | | 67 | | 11 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 39 | 2 | | 66 | | 11 | 24 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 40 | 48 | 4 | | 65 | | 10 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 33 | 55 | 7 | | 64 | | 10 | 25 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 61 | 12 | | 63 | | 9 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 65 | 16 | | 62 | | 9 | 26 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 66 | 21 | | 61 | | 8 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 64 | 28 | 0 | 60 | | 8 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 0 | 59 | | 7 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 52 | 45 | | 58 | | 7 | 28 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 47 | 52 | | 57 | | 6 | 28 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 37 | 61 | | 56 | | 6 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | 65 | | 55 | | 6 | 30 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | 69 | | 54 | | 5 | 30 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 71 | 4 | 53 | | 5 | 31 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | | 50 | -52 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 40 | | 0 | 39 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | 68 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
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