How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so)-0.2
Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 +0.1
-0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Long Island vs Miami+2.1+2.1+2.2*+0.0*-0.1-1.5
+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Philadelphie+0.4*-0.0*-0.0-0.6-0.5-0.4
Washington vs Ottawa-0.2-0.2*-0.2*+0.2*+0.1+0.5
Tampa vs Seattle-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Long Island finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112Count
118390-0In9082152
102285-6In1003*
101297-3In1167229*
100287-4In31462313*
99277-5In3104834329*
98278-4In1235441078*
97268-5In130451941135*
96258-6In314483140271*
95259-5In113433481485*
942510-499.8%0633411730858*
932410-599.403224126711,595*
922411-497.7113363314202,493*
912311-595.216283921503,997*
902312-490.203193731916,242*
892212-580.4011032371729,376*
882112-668.605234126613,616*
872113-554.80215373510018,769*
862013-640.9019314118025,948*
852014-527.6004234527034,287*
841914-617.502164437143,401*
831915-510.10194048253,842*
821815-65.500533583064,980*
811816-52.70325666075,900*
801716-61.301187110085,423*
791717-50.501137214093,442*
781617-60.2087220099,388*
771618-50.10568261102,684*
761518-60.00362342102,535*
751519-50.00155413100,441*
741419-60.0014747594,654*
731420-50.0003953886,749*
721320-6Out031571276,336*
711321-5Out023591865,660*
701322-4Out017582554,288*
691222-5Out012563243,841*
681223-4Out8524033,871*
671123-5Out5464925,643*
661124-4Out3395818,717*
651024-5Out2336513,010*
641025-4Out124759,071*
63925-5Out118815,825*
62926-4Out015853,630*
61826-5Out010902,292*
60827-4Out07931,366*
59727-5Out496805*
58728-4Out397431*
57628-5Out298190*
56629-4Out19999*
55630-3Out29862*
40-54Out100193*
Total:5.6%0000001411452991,477,125

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 +0.0
Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so)-0.0
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Long Island vs Miami-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
118390-089182
102285-63367
101297-311442222
100287-48233115158
99277-5310173124103
98278-412332241983
97268-512271431127311
96258-63113938151540
95259-51134391320701
942510-4006132122912530
932410-5030227341511701
922411-41013333171613120
912311-516126142519250
902312-40301882925691
892212-50101052827111720
882112-600522124162560
872113-502114181933110
862013-601091219382010
852014-50004717402930
841914-602312363970
831915-501183047130
821815-6000522512010
811816-500215503030
801716-60019453960
791717-5001538461010
781617-600329511610
771618-50121522330
761518-60014493150
751519-5008443890
741419-600536441510
731420-500327462220
721320-60119453050
711321-50113413880
701322-4073444140
691222-5042748200
681223-4021948291
671123-5011345392
661124-40840484
651024-50433557
641025-402256112
63925-501186516
62926-40126621
61826-50864280
60827-40560350
59727-525245
58728-414752
57628-523761
56629-43565
55630-33169
54530-425714
53531-31486
50-52100
40039-03268
Total:0000000000000112719282113510