Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2011-2012Beat Dallas 4-1, playoff odds up 0.09 to 99.9% 57 points 28 15-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Edmonton 4 Dallas 1 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | Los Angeles 5 Detroit 1 | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Minnesota vs Edmonton | -0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0 | | -0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2 | | Tampa vs Seattle | | | +0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Edmonton finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 121 | -133 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 793 | * | 120 | | 30 | 5 | - | 3 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 639 | * | 119 | | 29 | 5 | - | 4 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,255 | * | 118 | | 29 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,289 | * | 117 | | 28 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4,065 | * | 116 | | 28 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 6,571 | * | 115 | | 27 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 10,175 | * | 114 | | 27 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 89 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 15,212 | * | 113 | | 26 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 85 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 21,709 | * | 112 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 30,106 | * | 111 | | 25 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 40,057 | * | 110 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 50,924 | * | 109 | | 24 | 10 | - | 4 | In | 50 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 62,436 | * | 108 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 38 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 74,416 | * | 107 | | 23 | 11 | - | 4 | In | 28 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 85,769 | * | 106 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | In | 19 | 54 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 94,966 | * | 105 | | 22 | 12 | - | 4 | In | 11 | 52 | 24 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 42,530 | | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | In | 11 | 52 | 24 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 59,690 | * | 104 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 6 | 47 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 106,210 | * | 103 | | 21 | 13 | - | 4 | In | 3 | 38 | 23 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 43,940 | | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 3 | 38 | 23 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 62,548 | * | 102 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 30 | 20 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 41,842 | | | 20 | 13 | - | 5 | In | 1 | 29 | 19 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 61,910 | * | 101 | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 21 | 14 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 40,466 | | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 21 | 14 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 56,899 | * | 100 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 14 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 88,970 | * | 99 | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 78,849 | * | 98 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | | | | | 67,751 | * | 97 | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 0 | | | | | 56,373 | * | 96 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | In | | 1 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 1 | | | | | 45,248 | * | 95 | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 44 | 28 | 2 | 0 | | | | 35,265 | * | 94 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 0 | | | | 26,781 | * | 93 | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | | 0 | | 1 | 8 | 36 | 48 | 7 | 0 | | | | 19,554 | * | 92 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | | 0 | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 54 | 13 | 0 | | | | 14,038 | * | 91 | | 15 | 19 | - | 4 | 99.1 | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 57 | 19 | 1 | | | | 9,618 | * | 90 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | 98.5 | | | 0 | | | 1 | 14 | 57 | 27 | 1 | | | | 6,497 | * | 89 | | 14 | 20 | - | 4 | 97.3 | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 3 | | | | 4,159 | * | 88 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | 94.3 | | | | | | | 4 | 46 | 44 | 6 | | | | 2,625 | * | 87 | | 13 | 21 | - | 4 | 91.0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 36 | 52 | 9 | | | | 1,603 | * | 86 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | 88.2 | | | | | | | 1 | 30 | 57 | 12 | | | | 1,005 | * | 85 | | 12 | 22 | - | 4 | 81.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 23 | 58 | 19 | | | | 559 | * | 84 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | 73.9 | | | | | | | | 14 | 60 | 26 | | | | 299 | * | 83 | | 11 | 23 | - | 4 | 62.7 | | | | | | | | 9 | 54 | 36 | 1 | | | 193 | * | 82 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | 57.6 | | | | | | | | 9 | 49 | 42 | | | | 92 | * | 81 | | 10 | 24 | - | 4 | 53.8 | | | | | | | | 8 | 46 | 44 | 3 | | | 39 | * | 80 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | 41.4 | | | | | | | | | 41 | 59 | | | | 29 | * | 79 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | 40.0 | | | | | | | | | 40 | 60 | | | | 5 | * | 78 | | 10 | 27 | - | 1 | 33.3 | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | 3 | * | 75 | | 7 | 27 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 1 | | 57 | | 0 | 38 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 82 | 5 | 152 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 99.9 | % | 18 | 28 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,477,125 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Edmonton 4 Dallas 1 | -0.5 | | Los Angeles 5 Detroit 1 | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Minnesota vs Edmonton | +0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4 | | Tampa vs Seattle | -0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | San Francisco vs Houston | +0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 125 | -133 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 124 | | 32 | 3 | - | 3 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 123 | | 31 | 3 | - | 4 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | | 31 | 4 | - | 3 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 121 | | 31 | 5 | - | 2 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | | 30 | 5 | - | 3 | 89 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119 | | 29 | 5 | - | 4 | 83 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 29 | 6 | - | 3 | 76 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 28 | 6 | - | 4 | 68 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 28 | 7 | - | 3 | 58 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 27 | 7 | - | 4 | 46 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 27 | 8 | - | 3 | 36 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 26 | 8 | - | 4 | 25 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | 17 | 61 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 25 | 9 | - | 4 | 10 | 60 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | 5 | 55 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 24 | 10 | - | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | 1 | 37 | 19 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 23 | 11 | - | 4 | 0 | 27 | 15 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 43 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 22 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 21 | 13 | - | 4 | | 3 | 2 | 36 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | | 1 | 1 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 11 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 1 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 16 | 32 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 94 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 18 | 35 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | | | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 40 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 92 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 39 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 15 | 19 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | 90 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 89 | | 14 | 20 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 88 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 87 | | 13 | 21 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 3 | 33 | 23 | 29 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | 86 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 85 | | 12 | 22 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | 46 | 13 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 84 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 7 | 53 | 14 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | 83 | | 11 | 23 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 3 | 51 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 1 | | | | | 82 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 2 | 47 | 13 | 21 | 8 | 1 | | | | | 81 | | 10 | 24 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 46 | 8 | 26 | 13 | | | | | | 80 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | 3 | 34 | 21 | | | | | | 79 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | 20 | 20 | 20 | | | | | | 78 | | 10 | 27 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | | 67 | | | | | | 75 | | 7 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 57 | | 0 | 38 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 81 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 15 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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