Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2010

Plays at Boston Bruins, playoff odds down 1.1 to 94.8%

32 points 15 8-2 0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto Maple L vs Washington Capi	+1.5+1.1+0.3-0.7-2.7		+0.2+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.3
Chicago Blackha vs Winnipeg Jets	+0.6+0.2*-0.1-0.2-0.2
Edmonton Oilers vs Quebec Nordique	-0.2-0.2-0.0+0.1+0.5
Calgary Flames vs Vancouver Canuc	-0.1-0.0-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto Maple L finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

127.5	-144								In		100										604	*
127		34	3		-	3	16		In		97	3									34	*
125.5	-126.5								In		100										197	*
125		31	3		-	4	18		In		99	1									125	*
124	.5	33	4		-	4	15		In		97	3									198	*
124		30	3		-	5	18		In		95	5									319	*
123	.5	29	3		-	5	19		In		95	5									470	*
123		31	4		-	5	16		In		92	8									633	*
122	.5	30	4		-	5	17		In		92	8									917	*
122		29	4		-	5	18		In		90	10									1,183	*
121	.5	30	5		-	4	17		In		87	13	0								1,710	*
121		30	5		-	5	16		In		84	15	0								2,211	*
120	.5	29	5		-	5	17		In		81	18	0								2,974	*
120		28	5		-	5	18		In		77	23	0								3,711	*
119	.5	28	5		-	6	17		In		74	26	1								4,731	*
119		29	6		-	5	16		In		69	29	1								6,024	*
118	.5	28	6		-	5	17		In		66	33	1								7,723	*
118		28	6		-	6	16		In		61	37	2	0							9,482	*
117	.5	27	6		-	6	17		In		55	42	3	0							11,725	*
117		26	6		-	6	18		In		50	46	4	0							14,203	*
116	.5	27	7		-	5	17		In		45	49	6	0							16,841	*
116		27	7		-	6	16		In		40	51	8	0							19,795	*
115	.5	26	7		-	6	17		In		34	55	11	0	0						23,557	*
115		25	7		-	6	18		In		30	56	13	0							27,194	*
114	.5	26	8		-	5	17		In		25	57	17	1	0						31,311	*
114		25	8		-	5	18		In		21	57	21	1	0						35,440	*
113	.5	25	8		-	6	17		In		17	56	25	2	0						40,161	*
113		24	8		-	6	18		In		14	54	30	3	0						44,564	*
112	.5	25	9		-	5	17		In		11	51	34	4	0						49,405	*
112		25	9		-	6	16		In		8	49	38	6	0						54,298	*
111	.5	24	9		-	6	17		In		6	44	42	8	0						59,008	*
111		23	9		-	6	18		In		4	40	45	11	0	0					62,858	*
110	.5	23	9		-	7	17		In		3	34	49	14	0						66,932	*
110		22	9		-	7	18		In		2	29	51	18	1	0					70,591	*
109	.5	23	10		-	6	17		In		1	24	51	22	1	0					74,023	*
109		22	10		-	6	18		In		1	19	50	27	2	0					76,230	*
108	.5	22	10		-	7	17		In		0	15	49	32	3	0					79,046	*
108		23	11		-	6	16		100.0	%	0	12	46	36	4	0	0				80,482	*
107	.5	22	11		-	6	17		In		0	10	44	40	6	0					80,911	*
107		22	11		-	7	16		In		0	7	39	44	9	0					81,590	*
106	.5	21	11		-	7	17		100.0		0	5	34	48	12	1	0				80,724	*
106		22	12		-	6	16		100.0		0	3	29	50	16	1	0				80,274	*
105	.5	21	12		-	6	17		100.0		0	2	24	51	21	2	0				78,023	*
105		21	12		-	7	16		99.9		0	1	19	50	26	3	0				75,453	*
104	.5	20	12		-	7	17		99.8		0	1	15	48	31	5	0				72,457	*
104		21	13		-	6	16		99.7			0	11	45	35	8	0				69,532	*
103	.5	20	13		-	6	17		99.4			0	9	42	39	10	1				65,832	*
103		20	13		-	7	16		99.0			0	7	37	42	13	1	0			62,339	*
102	.5	19	13		-	7	17		98.3			0	4	32	44	17	2	0			57,983	*
102		20	14		-	6	16		97.3			0	3	27	46	22	3	0			53,888	*
101	.5	20	14		-	7	15		95.9			0	2	22	45	27	4	0			49,287	*
101		19	14		-	7	16		93.7			0	1	17	44	32	6	0			44,965	*
100	.5	18	14		-	7	17		91.3			0	1	13	41	37	9	0			40,658	*
100		19	15		-	6	16		88.0			0	0	10	37	41	12	0			36,560	*
99	.5	19	15		-	7	15		83.6			0	0	7	32	44	16	0	0		33,051	*
99		18	15		-	7	16		80.1			0	0	5	29	46	19	1			29,077	*
98	.5	17	15		-	7	17		74.5				0	4	24	47	25	1	0		25,589	*
98		18	16		-	6	16		68.9				0	2	20	47	29	2	0		22,670	*
97	.5	18	16		-	7	15		63.1				0	2	16	46	34	2	0		19,599	*
97		17	16		-	7	16		55.7				0	1	12	42	40	4	0		16,919	*
96	.5	18	17		-	6	15		49.2				0	1	9	40	45	6	0		14,625	*
96		16	16		-	8	16		41.8				0	0	7	34	51	8	0		12,513	*
95	.5	17	17		-	7	15		35.0				0	0	4	30	54	11	0		10,380	*
95		16	17		-	7	16		29.5				0	0	3	26	56	14	1		8,865	*
94	.5	17	18		-	6	15		25.5				0	0	3	22	55	19	1	0	7,381	*
94		15	17		-	8	16		20.2					0	2	18	55	23	2	0	5,921	*
93	.5	16	18		-	7	15		16.2				0	0	1	15	54	27	2	0	5,071	*
93		16	18		-	8	14		11.9					0	1	10	52	32	4		3,934	*
92	.5	15	18		-	8	15		9.4					0	1	9	48	36	6	0	3,270	*
92		14	18		-	8	16		7.6					0	1	7	45	39	8	0	2,666	*
91	.5	15	19		-	7	15		6.0						0	6	40	43	11	1	2,084	*
91		14	19		-	7	16		4.2						0	4	36	43	16	1	1,780	*
90	.5	14	19		-	8	15		3.2					0	0	3	29	49	16	2	1,352	*
90		15	20		-	7	14		2.7						0	2	28	46	21	2	1,019	*
89	.5	14	20		-	7	15		2.8						0	2	22	46	27	3	891	*
89		14	20		-	8	14		2.1						0	2	21	41	30	5	614	*
88	.5	12	20		-	7	17		2.9						1	2	15	39	37	7	451	*
88		14	21		-	7	14		1.7							2	11	43	38	7	360	*
87	.5	13	21		-	7	15		1.4							1	10	38	40	10	285	*
87		15	22		-	7	12		1.0							1	10	31	46	11	210	*
86	.5	14	22		-	7	13		0.6							1	6	32	42	19	180	*
86		14	23		-	5	14		0.8							1	5	24	43	28	127	*
85	.5	14	23		-	6	13		Out								6	25	44	25	103	*
85		12	22		-	8	14		Out								2	23	43	32	60	*
84	.5	12	23		-	6	15		Out								6	19	35	40	48	*
84		13	23		-	8	12		Out								3	16	53	28	32	*
83	.5	12	23		-	8	13		Out								11	5	58	26	19	*
83		11	22		-	11	12		Out									20	24	56	25	*
82	.5	13	24		-	8	11		Out									23	41	36	22	*
82		11	24		-	7	14		Out									8	33	58	12	*
81	.5	14	26		-	5	11		Out									33	33	33	6	*
81		11	24		-	9	12		Out									14	14	71	7	*
79.5	-80.5								Out											100	11	*
79		11	24		-	13	8		Out								50			50	2	*
32	-78								Out											100	557	*

Total:									94.8	%	6	17	24	24	15	9	4	1	0	0	2,243,174

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs