larlotto85 Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Clutch Playmake 42.76-115.86, playoff odds down 23.7 to 6.4%

0-1 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
larlotto85 42.76 Clutch Playmake 115.86	-9.1		-0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
larlotto85 vs Yorkshire Roses	+3.1-3.1		+0.6-0.6
Clutch Playmake vs Erect Humdinger	-0.2+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flying V vs larlotto85	-3.0+4.5		-0.5+0.7
Mukk Service vs Geno	+0.4-0.2
Lanterne Rouge vs Dick Henderson'	-0.2+0.3

Chances based on how well the larlotto85 finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

13	13	-	0	In		100										375
12	12	-	1	In		93	7	0								1,065
11	11	-	2	100.0	%	71	26	3	0							8,251
10	10	-	3	96.7		31	46	20	3	0	0					38,308
9	9	-	4	66.1		4	23	39	26	7	1	0				119,478
8	8	-	5	12.9		0	2	11	31	35	17	3	0	0		268,546
7	7	-	6	0.2			0	0	3	17	36	31	12	2	0	444,634
6	6	-	7	0.0				0	0	1	7	27	39	22	4	551,193
5	5	-	8	Out						0	0	4	22	46	28	512,282
4	4	-	9	Out							0	0	3	30	67	350,997
3	3	-	10	Out									0	9	91	172,503
2	2	-	11	Out									0	1	99	57,422
1	1	-	12	Out										0	100	11,758
0	0	-	13	Out											100	1,388

Total:				6.4	%	1	2	3	5	7	10	12	15	19	25	2,538,200

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

13	13	-	0	100
12	12	-	1	85	8	7		0
11	11	-	2	51	20	26	1	3		0
10	10	-	3	11	20	36	10	20	0	3	0
9	9	-	4	0	4	7	16	27	12	28	5	1	0	0
8	8	-	5		0	0	2	2	9	24	29	23	9	2	0	0
7	7	-	6				0	0	0	1	5	13	21	25	20	11	3	1	0	0
6	6	-	7						0		0	0	1	4	10	18	24	23	14	5	1	0	0
5	5	-	8											0	0	1	3	11	21	28	24	10	2
4	4	-	9													0	0	0	2	9	25	38	25
3	3	-	10															0	0	0	5	26	68
2	2	-	11																	0	0	6	93
1	1	-	12																			1	99
0	0	-	13																				100

Total:				0	1	1	1	2	2	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	11