Tornado Letzebuerg Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Superstars 62.56-96.16, playoff odds down 22.9 to 7.1%

0-1 .000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Superstars 96.16 Tornado Letzebu 62.56	-9.2		-0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Tornado Letzebu vs Pietro powerhou	+3.4-3.4		+0.6-0.6
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	-0.3+0.4

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	-3.3+4.9		-0.5+0.7
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	+0.4-0.3
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	+0.4-0.2

Chances based on how well the Tornado Letzebu finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

13	13	-	0	In		100										399
12	12	-	1	In		94	6	0								1,273
11	11	-	2	99.9	%	71	27	2	0							9,571
10	10	-	3	96.7		31	46	20	3	0	0					43,174
9	9	-	4	66.3		4	23	39	26	7	1	0	0			131,689
8	8	-	5	13.4		0	2	12	31	35	17	3	0	0		286,769
7	7	-	6	0.3			0	0	3	18	36	31	11	1	0	461,471
6	6	-	7	0.0				0	0	1	8	28	39	21	3	554,504
5	5	-	8	Out						0	0	4	24	46	26	497,929
4	4	-	9	Out							0	0	4	32	64	330,870
3	3	-	10	Out								0	0	10	90	157,942
2	2	-	11	Out									0	2	98	51,267
1	1	-	12	Out										0	100	10,085
0	0	-	13	Out											100	1,257

Total:				7.1	%	1	2	4	6	8	10	13	16	19	22	2,538,200

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Superstars 96.16 Tornado Letzebu 62.56	+1.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Tornado Letzebu vs Pietro powerhou	-1.2+1.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	+0.9-1.4

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

13	13	-	0	100	0
12	12	-	1	85	9	6		0
11	11	-	2	48	23	26	1	2		0
10	10	-	3	8	22	35	11	19	0	3	0	0
9	9	-	4	0	4	6	17	26	13	28	6	1	0	0
8	8	-	5		0	0	2	1	10	24	30	22	9	2	0	0
7	7	-	6				0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	20	10	3	1	0	0
6	6	-	7						0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	22	13	4	1	0	0
5	5	-	8										0	0	0	1	4	12	23	29	22	9	1
4	4	-	9													0	0	0	2	11	28	38	21
3	3	-	10															0	0	0	5	30	64
2	2	-	11																		0	8	91
1	1	-	12																		0	1	99
0	0	-	13																				100

Total:				0	1	1	1	2	2	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	9	9