Superstars Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Beat Tornado Letzebu 96.16-62.56, playoff odds up 9.1 to 39.1%

1-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Superstars 96.16 Tornado Letzebu 62.56	+9.1		+0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Hail Mary vs Superstars	-10.8+10.8		-0.7+0.7
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	-0.6+0.6
Crazy Canucks vs Clarks Cowboys	+0.3-0.3
Brian's Crusade vs DJP Senators	+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	-10.5+10.5		-0.7+0.7
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	+0.7-0.6
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	-0.6+0.6
SK Romania vs Brian's Crusade	-0.2+0.2

Chances based on how well the Superstars finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

14	13	-	0	In		100										574
13	12	-	1	In		100	0									3,821
12	11	-	2	In		98	2									22,627
11	10	-	3	In		89	11	0								82,640
10	9	-	4	99.8	%	62	33	5	0	0						206,897
9	8	-	5	92.7		22	44	27	7	1	0					371,810
8	7	-	6	48.8		2	14	33	33	15	3	0	0			495,535
7	6	-	7	4.8		0	0	4	18	33	29	12	2	0	0	495,705
6	5	-	8	0.0				0	1	5	20	35	28	10	1	371,544
5	4	-	9	Out					0	0	1	10	32	41	17	206,405
4	3	-	10	Out							0	0	7	37	55	82,850
3	2	-	11	Out								0	0	13	86	22,376
2	1	-	12	Out										3	97	3,765
1	0	-	13	Out											100	587

Total:				39.1	%	13	13	13	12	11	10	9	8	7	5	2,367,136

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Superstars 96.16 Tornado Letzebu 62.56	-1.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Hail Mary vs Superstars	+1.5-1.5

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	+1.4-1.4

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

14	13	-	0	100
13	12	-	1	99	1	0
12	11	-	2	95	3	2
11	10	-	3	75	14	11	0	0
10	9	-	4	32	30	31	2	5	0	0	0
9	8	-	5	3	19	23	20	24	3	6	1	0	0
8	7	-	6	0	2	1	13	10	23	23	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
7	6	-	7		0		0	0	4	2	8	17	22	20	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
6	5	-	8						0		0	0	1	3	10	19	23	21	14	7	2	0	0
5	4	-	9												0	0	2	7	19	28	27	14	3
4	3	-	10														0	0	1	5	21	41	32
3	2	-	11																	0	2	22	75
2	1	-	12																			6	94
1	0	-	13																			0	100

Total:				7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	2