Lanterne Rouge Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Erect Humdinger 115.38-71.28, playoff odds up 26.6 to 56.6%

1-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Erect Humdinger 71.28 Lanterne Rouge 115.38	+9.1		+0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Lanterne Rouge vs HannesLeukemans	+11.4-11.4		+0.6-0.6
Clutch Playmake vs Erect Humdinger	-0.7+1.0

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lanterne Rouge vs Dick Henderson'	+8.3-12.4		+0.5-0.7
Flying V vs larlotto85	-0.8+1.2
Mukk Service vs Geno	+1.2-0.8
HannesLeukemans vs Clutch Playmake	-0.2+0.2

Chances based on how well the Lanterne Rouge finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

14	13	-	0	In		100										1,221
13	12	-	1	In		100	0									10,238
12	11	-	2	In		98	2									51,045
11	10	-	3	100.0	%	90	10	0	0							157,838
10	9	-	4	99.9		64	32	4	0	0						332,072
9	8	-	5	95.6		26	46	24	4	0	0					499,526
8	7	-	6	63.1		3	21	39	28	8	1	0	0			554,637
7	6	-	7	12.0		0	1	11	31	36	17	3	0	0		460,095
6	5	-	8	0.2			0	0	3	17	35	31	12	2	0	286,253
5	4	-	9	Out					0	1	7	26	39	23	4	131,014
4	3	-	10	Out							0	3	20	46	31	42,921
3	2	-	11	Out								0	2	26	71	9,667
2	1	-	12	Out									0	6	94	1,275
1	0	-	13	Out										1	99	398

Total:				56.6	%	22	19	16	13	10	8	6	4	2	1	2,538,200

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Erect Humdinger 71.28 Lanterne Rouge 115.38	-1.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Lanterne Rouge vs HannesLeukemans	-1.3+1.3
Clutch Playmake vs Erect Humdinger	+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lanterne Rouge vs Dick Henderson'	-1.0+1.5
Flying V vs larlotto85	+0.0-0.1
Mukk Service vs Geno	-0.1+0.0

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

14	13	-	0	100	0
13	12	-	1	99	0	0
12	11	-	2	95	4	2	0
11	10	-	3	74	16	10	0	0		0
10	9	-	4	31	33	29	3	4	0	0	0
9	8	-	5	3	23	24	22	20	3	4	1	0	0
8	7	-	6	0	3	1	19	15	25	14	14	7	2	0	0	0
7	6	-	7		0		1	0	11	1	8	17	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
6	5	-	8				0		0		0	0	1	6	16	24	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
5	4	-	9											0	0	1	6	16	27	27	16	6	1
4	3	-	10														0	0	3	14	32	35	15
3	2	-	11																0	1	7	36	56
2	1	-	12																		0	11	89
1	0	-	13																			1	99

Total:				12	11	9	9	8	8	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1