Hail Mary Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Crazy Canucks 109.12-88.58, playoff odds up 28.9 to 58.9%

1-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hail Mary 109.12 Crazy Canucks 88.58	+9.2		+0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Hail Mary vs Superstars	+11.2-11.2		+0.6-0.6
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	-0.9+1.4
Brian's Crusade vs DJP Senators	-0.2+0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	-12.2+8.2		-0.7+0.4
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	+1.2-0.8
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	-0.7+1.0

Chances based on how well the Hail Mary finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

14	13	-	0	In		100										1,560
13	12	-	1	In		100	0									13,412
12	11	-	2	In		98	2	0								64,902
11	10	-	3	100.0	%	87	12	0	0							188,188
10	9	-	4	99.8		60	35	5	0	0						370,380
9	8	-	5	94.3		22	46	27	5	0	0					523,697
8	7	-	6	58.7		2	18	38	31	10	1	0	0			548,613
7	6	-	7	9.8		0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0	0		428,799
6	5	-	8	0.2			0	0	3	15	35	32	13	2	0	249,570
5	4	-	9	Out					0	1	6	25	39	24	5	107,597
4	3	-	10	Out							0	3	19	46	32	33,294
3	2	-	11	Out								0	2	26	71	6,929
2	1	-	12	Out										6	94	886
1	0	-	13	Out										1	99	373

Total:				58.9	%	23	20	16	13	10	7	5	3	2	1	2,538,200

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hail Mary 109.12 Crazy Canucks 88.58	-1.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Hail Mary vs Superstars	-1.3+1.3
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	+1.5-1.0
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	+0.1-0.1
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	-0.1+0.0

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

14	13	-	0	100
13	12	-	1	98	2	0
12	11	-	2	90	8	2		0
11	10	-	3	62	25	12	0	0		0
10	9	-	4	20	40	29	6	5	0	0	0
9	8	-	5	1	21	16	29	21	5	5	1	0	0
8	7	-	6	0	2	0	18	8	30	13	15	9	3	1	0	0
7	6	-	7		0		1	0	9	1	6	15	22	21	15	7	2	0	0	0
6	5	-	8				0		0		0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
5	4	-	9											0	0	1	4	13	25	28	19	8	1
4	3	-	10														0	0	2	11	29	38	20
3	2	-	11																0	0	6	30	63
2	1	-	12																			8	92
1	0	-	13																			1	99

Total:				11	13	9	11	7	9	4	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1