Brian's Crusaders Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Beat Team JDOG 91.46-65.8, playoff odds up 6.6 to 36.6%

1-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Team JDOG 65.8 Brian's Crusade 91.46	+9.2		+0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Brian's Crusade vs DJP Senators	+10.6-10.6		+0.7-0.7
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	-0.7+0.7
Crazy Canucks vs Clarks Cowboys	+0.2-0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SK Romania vs Brian's Crusade	-10.6+10.6		-0.7+0.7
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	+0.7-0.7
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	-0.7+0.7
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	+0.2-0.2
Team JDOG vs Crazy Canucks	+0.2-0.2

Chances based on how well the Brian's Crusade finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

14	13	-	0	In		100										560
13	12	-	1	In		100	0									3,695
12	11	-	2	In		98	2									22,385
11	10	-	3	100.0	%	87	12	0	0							83,051
10	9	-	4	99.6		57	36	6	0	0						206,188
9	8	-	5	89.8		18	41	31	9	1	0	0				372,792
8	7	-	6	40.7		1	10	29	35	19	5	0	0	0		495,274
7	6	-	7	2.9		0	0	3	13	31	33	16	4	0	0	495,801
6	5	-	8	0.0			0	0	0	4	16	34	32	12	2	371,326
5	4	-	9	Out					0	0	1	8	29	43	20	206,524
4	3	-	10	Out							0	0	6	35	59	82,595
3	2	-	11	Out								0	0	13	87	22,490
2	1	-	12	Out										3	97	3,864
1	0	-	13	Out										0	100	591

Total:				36.6	%	12	12	12	12	11	10	10	9	7	5	2,367,136

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Team JDOG 65.8 Brian's Crusade 91.46	-1.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Brian's Crusade vs DJP Senators	-1.4+1.4

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
SK Romania vs Brian's Crusade	+1.4-1.4

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

14	13	-	0	100
13	12	-	1	100	0	0
12	11	-	2	95	3	2
11	10	-	3	73	14	12	0	0		0
10	9	-	4	29	28	33	3	6	0	0	0
9	8	-	5	2	16	21	20	27	4	9	1	0	0
8	7	-	6	0	1	0	10	8	21	26	20	9	3	1	0	0	0
7	6	-	7		0		0	0	3	2	8	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
6	5	-	8				0		0		0	0	1	3	10	19	23	21	14	6	2	0	0
5	4	-	9												0	0	2	8	19	28	26	14	3
4	3	-	10															0	1	6	21	41	31
3	2	-	11																0	0	2	24	73
2	1	-	12																		0	6	94
1	0	-	13																			0	100

Total:				6	6	7	6	7	6	7	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	2