Brian's Crusaders Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Team JDOG 91.46-65.8, playoff odds up 13.9 to 43.9%

1-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Team JDOG 65.8 Brian's Crusade 91.46	+9.2		+0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Brian's Crusade vs DJP Senators	+11.4-11.4		+0.6-0.6
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	-1.1+1.7
Crazy Canucks vs Clarks Cowboys	+0.2-0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SK Romania vs Brian's Crusade	-11.4+11.4		-0.6+0.6
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	-1.1+1.6
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	+1.6-1.1
Clarks Cowboys vs Superstars	+1.0-0.7
Team JDOG vs Crazy Canucks	+0.3-0.3

Chances based on how well the Brian's Crusade finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

14	13	-	0	In		100										1,317
13	12	-	1	In		99	1									10,050
12	11	-	2	In		94	6	0								50,970
11	10	-	3	100.0	%	75	23	2	0							157,759
10	9	-	4	98.3		38	45	15	2	0						331,301
9	8	-	5	79.7		8	32	39	17	3	0	0				498,216
8	7	-	6	29.4		0	5	24	39	25	6	0	0	0		554,996
7	6	-	7	2.1		0	0	2	13	35	34	13	2	0	0	462,005
6	5	-	8	0.0				0	1	6	25	39	23	6	0	286,476
5	4	-	9	Out					0	0	3	17	39	33	8	130,603
4	3	-	10	Out						0	0	2	14	45	39	43,140
3	2	-	11	Out								0	2	23	76	9,579
2	1	-	12	Out									0	6	94	1,401
1	0	-	13	Out										1	99	387

Total:				43.9	%	14	15	15	15	13	11	8	5	3	1	2,538,200

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Team JDOG 65.8 Brian's Crusade 91.46	-1.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Brian's Crusade vs DJP Senators	-1.2+1.2
SK Romania vs Team JDOG	+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
SK Romania vs Brian's Crusade	+1.2-1.2
Pietro powerhou vs Hail Mary	-0.1+0.1
DJP Senators vs Tornado Letzebu	+0.0-0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

14	13	-	0	100	0
13	12	-	1	98	1	1
12	11	-	2	86	8	6	0	0
11	10	-	3	52	23	23	1	2		0
10	9	-	4	12	26	36	9	15	0	2	0	0
9	8	-	5	0	8	10	23	29	11	17	3	0	0
8	7	-	6		0	0	5	4	20	25	25	14	5	1	0	0
7	6	-	7		0		0	0	2	2	8	18	25	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
6	5	-	8						0		0	0	1	6	15	24	24	17	9	3	1	0	0
5	4	-	9										0	0	0	1	6	16	26	26	17	6	1
4	3	-	10													0	0	0	4	15	31	35	15
3	2	-	11																0	1	8	36	55
2	1	-	12																		0	13	87
1	0	-	13																			2	98

Total:				7	7	8	7	8	7	9	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1