Lanterne Rouge Playoff Chances 2011

Beat Flying V 104.02-98.58, Beat Mukk Service 106.54-97.76, playoff odds up 44.5 to 57.5%

5-2 .714

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lanterne Rouge vs Geno	+19.4-6.4		+0.6-0.2
HannesLeukemans vs larlotto85	-2.9+8.9		-0.1+0.2
Mukk Service vs Clutch Playmake	+6.2-2.8		+0.2-0.1
Flying V vs Yorkshire Roses	-0.7+4.7		-0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Lanterne Rouge finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

12	7	-	0	In		74	26									40,965
11	6	-	1	99.6	%	16	73	11	0	0						310,269
10	5	-	2	90.1		1	48	41	9	1						859,423
9	4	-	3	55.8		0	13	43	37	8	0					1,078,791
8	3	-	4	19.2			1	18	50	30	1	0				689,748
7	2	-	5	3.3			0	3	27	53	15	1	0			228,518
6	1	-	6	0.2				0	5	36	43	15	1	0		36,892
5	0	-	7	Out					0	6	30	46	16	2		2,656

Total:				57.5	%	3	24	30	27	13	2	0	0	0		3,247,262

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lanterne Rouge vs Geno	-1.3+0.4
Mukk Service vs Clutch Playmake	-0.3+0.1
HannesLeukemans vs larlotto85	+0.1-0.3
Flying V vs Yorkshire Roses	+0.0-0.2
Team JDOG vs Hail Mary	-0.1+0.0
SK Romania vs Tornado Letzebu	+0.0-0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

12	7	-	0	57	17	26
11	6	-	1	2	13	66	7	11	0	0
10	5	-	2	0	1	24	24	38	3	10	0	0
9	4	-	3		0	1	11	21	23	33	10	1	0	0
8	3	-	4			0	1	1	17	14	26	24	13	4	1	0	0
7	2	-	5				0		3	0	3	12	27	30	18	6	1	0	0
6	1	-	6						0			0	1	10	29	35	20	5	0
5	0	-	7											0	1	10	31	39	16	2	0

Total:				1	2	13	11	18	12	17	9	6	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0