Brian's Crusaders Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Hail Mary 60.72-84.38, Lost to Superstars 42.5-79.12, playoff odds down 57.4 to 15.6%

4-3 .571

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brian's Crusade vs Clarks Cowboys	+11.3-11.3		+0.7-0.7
Pietro powerhou vs Superstars	+4.0-2.7
SK Romania vs Tornado Letzebu	-0.3+1.3		-0.0+0.2
Team JDOG vs Hail Mary	+1.1-0.2
DJP Senators vs Crazy Canucks			+0.0-0.2

Chances based on how well the Brian's Crusade finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

11	7	-	0	99.6	%	12	53	35	0							12,705
10	6	-	1	91.2		1	23	67	9	0	0					124,558
9	5	-	2	54.2		0	3	51	37	8	1	0				467,148
8	4	-	3	13.3			0	13	38	36	12	1	0			890,397
7	3	-	4	0.9			0	1	8	29	41	18	3	0		951,912
6	2	-	5	0.0				0	0	4	24	46	26	0		583,206
5	1	-	6	Out					0	0	3	25	71	1	0	190,715
4	0	-	7	Out								2	84	13	0	26,621

Total:				15.6	%	0	2	14	19	20	20	15	10	0	0	3,247,262

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
Brian's Crusade vs Clarks Cowboys	-1.2+1.2
SK Romania vs Tornado Letzebu	+0.1-0.2
DJP Senators vs Crazy Canucks	-0.0+0.2
Flying V vs Yorkshire Roses	+0.0-0.1
Pietro powerhou vs Superstars	-0.1+0.1
HannesLeukemans vs larlotto85	+0.0-0.1
Team JDOG vs Hail Mary	-0.1+0.0

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

11	7	-	0	2	10	48	4	35	0	0
10	6	-	1	0	1	10	13	61	7	9	0	0
9	5	-	2		0	0	3	20	31	32	12	2	0	0
8	4	-	3			0	0	0	13	14	28	27	13	3	0	0	0
7	3	-	4				0		1	0	2	11	25	32	21	8	1	0	0
6	2	-	5						0		0	0	1	5	19	35	29	9	1	0
5	1	-	6											0	0	4	27	51	16	1	0
4	0	-	7														0	31	51	17	1	0

Total:				0	0	1	1	5	8	9	10	11	11	11	10	9	7	5	2	0	0	0