Lighthouse's Legit Team Playoff Chances 2022
Lost to Kevin 74.1-108.96, playoff odds down 23.3 to 16.7%
0-1-0 .000
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lighthouse 74.1 Kevin 108.96 | -10.0 | -0.7 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Not Good vs Lighthouse | -5.7*-6.0+8.5 | -0.5*-0.5+0.7 | ||
| James vs Danny | +0.5*+0.7-0.3 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Don't Lose vs FFF-Fumble | +0.4*+10.6-0.3 | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | ||
| Maryanne vs Bravitt | +0.4*+6.6-0.3 | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | ||
| Terrything vs Kevin | +0.3*-1.6-0.2 | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lighthouse finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 13 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 415 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 1,216 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 84 | 15 | 1 | 9,105 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 51 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 41,828 | |||||||
| 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 44 | 33 | 22 | 9 | |||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98.8 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 130,280 | |||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 76.2 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 21 | ||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 73.8 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 293,744 | |||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 17.0 | 17 | 36 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 47 | |||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 487,486 | |||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 8 | 25 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 83 | ||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 605,145 | |||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 19 | 46 | 29 | 6 | 94 | ||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 13 | 562,649 | |||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 9 | 38 | 49 | 74 | ||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 51 | 384,633 | ||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 15 | 85 | 40 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 84 | 189,189 | |||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 7 | 93 | 14 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 63,108 | ||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 12,995 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 1,583 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 16.7 | % | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 2,783,760 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Lighthouse 74.1 Kevin 108.96 | +1.5 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Not Good vs Lighthouse | +1.0*+1.2-1.5 | |
| Americaine vs SKOL Bus | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Terrything vs Kevin | +0.0*+0.9-0.0 | |
| Maryanne vs Bravitt | +0.0*-0.5-0.0 | |
| Don't Lose vs FFF-Fumble | +0.0*-0.9-0.0 | |
| James vs Danny | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Close but no cigar
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 13 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 89 | 10 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 59 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 18 | 36 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 11 | 44 | 22 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 14 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 28 | 19 | 15 | 9 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 41 | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 19 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 13 | 33 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 60 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 21 | 79 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 98 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
