Fee-Fi-Fo-Fumble! Playoff Chances 2022 50/50
Beat Terrything 147.1-131.02, playoff odds up 9.8 to 49.8%
1-0-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Terrything 131.02 FFF-Fumble 147.1 | +10.0 | +0.7 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Don't Lose vs FFF-Fumble | -10.7*-9.8+10.7 | -0.7*-1.0+0.7 | ||
| Maryanne vs Bravitt | +0.0-0.3-0.0 | |||
| Not Good vs Lighthouse | -0.0-0.3+0.0 | |||
| James vs Danny | +0.0*+0.8-0.0 | |||
| Terrything vs Kevin | +0.0*+1.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FFF-Fumble finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 13 | -14 | In | 100 | 1,786 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 9,100 | |||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | 33,174 | ||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 3 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 82,950 | |||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 78 | 22 | 9 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 24 | 46 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 150,085 | ||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 92.3 | 8 | 38 | 46 | 8 | 26 | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 83.0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 199,647 | |||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 22.2 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 17 | 18 | |||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 16.4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 200,192 | |||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 22 | 61 | 13 | 4 | 23 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 150,119 | |||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 5 | 37 | 58 | 19 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 83,518 | |||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 40 | 60 | 5 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 33,389 | |||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 7 | 93 | 8,900 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 1,522 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 230 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 49.8 | % | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 954,720 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Terrything 131.02 FFF-Fumble 147.1 | -1.5 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Don't Lose vs FFF-Fumble | +1.5+2.1-1.5 | |
| Not Good vs Lighthouse | +0.0+0.7-0.0 | |
| Americaine vs SKOL Bus | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | |
| Maryanne vs Bravitt | -0.0*+0.5+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Close but no cigar
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 14 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 35 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 22 | 11 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 22 | 26 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 26 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 4 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 20 | 40 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 37 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 5 | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
