Fee-Fi-Fo-Fumble! Playoff Chances 2022
Beat Terrything 147.1-131.02, playoff odds up 25.2 to 65.2%
1-0-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Terrything 131.02 FFF-Fumble 147.1 | +10.0 | +0.7 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Don't Lose vs FFF-Fumble | -11.9*-19.8+8.0 | -0.7*-1.2+0.5 | ||
| James vs Danny | +0.6*+13.1-0.4 | +0.0*+0.9-0.0 | ||
| Maryanne vs Bravitt | +0.5*+21.5-0.4 | +0.0+1.2-0.0 | ||
| Not Good vs Lighthouse | -0.3*+16.9+0.4 | -0.0*+1.0+0.0 | ||
| Terrything vs Kevin | +0.3*+10.5-0.2 | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FFF-Fumble finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 14 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 1,814 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 14,887 | |||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 71,433 | ||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 82 | 18 | 11 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 83 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 206,396 | |||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 58 | 33 | 8 | 36 | |||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 50 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 407,124 | |||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 98.4 | 7 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 61 | |||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.1 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 575,285 | |||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 85.9 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 92 | ||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 77.6 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 599,387 | |||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 29.2 | 5 | 25 | 32 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 65 | ||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 16.6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 468,961 | |||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 29 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 51 | |||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 274,204 | |||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 25 | 44 | 31 | 16 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 118,347 | |||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 40 | 60 | 10 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 54 | 36,520 | ||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 100 | 3 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 13 | 87 | 7,638 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 1,006 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 412 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 65.2 | % | 19 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2,783,760 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Terrything 131.02 FFF-Fumble 147.1 | -1.5 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Don't Lose vs FFF-Fumble | +1.5+2.3-1.0 | |
| Maryanne vs Bravitt | -0.0-2.4+0.0 | |
| Americaine vs SKOL Bus | +0.0*+1.3-0.0 | |
| Terrything vs Kevin | -0.0*-1.0+0.0 | |
| James vs Danny | -0.0*-1.7+0.0 | |
| Not Good vs Lighthouse | +0.0*-1.6-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Close but no cigar
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |
| 14 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 45 | 45 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 59 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 25 | 33 | 33 | 6 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 18 | 36 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 30 | 13 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 4 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 10 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 13 | 19 | 38 | 13 | 19 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 10 | 40 | 30 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 37 | 19 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 60 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
