How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
FFF-Fumble 91.6 Title Shot 96.44 +6.8
+0.6
And I Oop 42.9 Kat Andy 93.7 -0.6
Gronk 128.8 Winner's 106.74 +0.6
Ocho cinco 70.4 Outlier 87.54 -0.4
+0.0
Grinders 81.34 cobra Kai 146.68 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ocho cinco vs Title Shot-11.1-4.4+7.2
-0.7-0.1+0.5
Gronk vs Kat Andy+1.4-2.7-2.3
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Grinders vs Outlier+2.0*+0.8-0.8
Winner's vs cobra Kai-0.2*+1.0+0.1
FFF-Fumble vs And I Oop-0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Title Shot finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910Count
119-0-0In811912,571
10.58-0-1In6040224
108-1-0In355680121,487
7-0-2In33673
9.57-1-1In13582722,109
97-2-099.5%542421110546,138
6-1-2In628561118
8.56-2-194.80144833508,075
86-3-080.906324318101,378,190
5-2-255.6154139654
7.55-3-150.60941437016,795
75-4-026.603234824202,149,122
4-3-26.3155239379
6.54-4-15.70644456021,586
64-5-01.501205224302,148,588
3-4-2Out154435696
5.53-5-10.00643419016,736
53-6-00.001194629501,377,770
2-5-2Out73747957
4.52-6-1Out0534471407,833
42-7-0Out011343385547,512
1-6-2Out15602520
3.51-7-1Out32757142,105
31-8-0Out085141122,010
0-7-2Out1001
2.50-8-1Out13465226
20-9-0Out89212,755
Total:28.5%159142123158418,492,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/29100.0*Lottery seed
FFF-Fumble 91.6 Title Shot 96.44 -1.2
Stephen 52.8 Snacks Attack 87.64 +0.1
Fuzzy Puppy 114.08 Unicorn 135.6 +0.0
Gronk 128.8 Winner's 106.74 -0.0
Lighthouse 112.94 Valerie 68.46 +0.0
Grinders 81.34 cobra Kai 146.68 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Lottery seed
Ocho cinco vs Title Shot+1.5+0.2-1.0
Gronk vs Kat Andy-0.0+0.2+0.1
Jacob vs Valerie+0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Close but no cigar

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920
119-0-0682930
10.58-0-14246120
108-1-018403010200
7-0-2333333
9.57-1-131938271110
97-2-017223024124100
6-1-2611332822
8.56-2-10314293217400
86-3-000141323262010300
5-2-221313303174
7.55-3-10151833291220
75-4-0000151425271971000
4-3-2644252211
6.54-4-1019263621510
64-5-00002821312511300
3-4-22718382411
5.53-5-10052035281020
53-6-00015173028144000
2-5-2793337122
4.52-6-10031631331430
42-7-000041530321730
1-6-210304515
3.51-7-102133536121
31-8-00031538349
0-7-2100
2.50-8-13235222
20-9-0054451
Total:01234567891011108643210