THE LONE STAR Playoff Chances 2019

Beat Jacob 96.94-88.34, playoff odds up 21.2 to 77.1%

3-1-0 .750

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Lone Star finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

12		9	-	0	-	0	In		100										94,703
11	.5	8	-	0	-	1	In		99	1									1,435
11		8	-	1	-	0	In		92	8	0								564,692
		7	-	0	-	2	In		75	25									8
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	In		85	14	0								7,426
10		7	-	2	-	0	In		59	36	5	0							1,481,310
		6	-	1	-	2	In		59	35	6								51
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	In		40	48	11	0							16,906
		5	-	1	-	3	In				100								1
9		6	-	3	-	0	99.7	%	15	43	34	8	0	0					2,223,857
		5	-	2	-	2	In		11	34	46	9							91
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	99.0		4	30	47	18	1	0					21,823
8		5	-	4	-	0	84.3		1	9	34	41	14	1	0				2,097,727
		4	-	3	-	2	76.5			1	24	52	24						85
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1	63.2		0	1	15	47	31	5	0				16,886
7		4	-	5	-	0	27.4		0	0	4	24	42	26	5	0	0		1,289,224
		3	-	4	-	2	6.7					7	48	37	7	2			60
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1	5.7				0	6	32	46	15	1			8,301
6		3	-	6	-	0	1.2				0	1	13	38	38	10	0	0	514,878
		2	-	5	-	2	Out							19	48	33			21
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out						2	20	47	28	3		2,466
5		2	-	7	-	0	0.0					0	0	6	34	45	15	0	129,005
		1	-	6	-	2	Out								14	71	14		7
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out							0	14	47	36	3	442
4		1	-	8	-	0	Out							0	4	31	56	10	18,470
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out									25	50	25	24
3		0	-	9	-	0	Out									2	47	51	2,261

Total:							77.1	%	22	21	19	16	11	7	4	1	0	0	8,492,160

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Close but no cigar

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

12		9	-	0	-	0	84	16	0
11	.5	8	-	0	-	1	72	27	0
11		8	-	1	-	0	48	44	8	1	0
		7	-	0	-	2	25	63	13
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	30	52	17	2	0
10		7	-	2	-	0	10	37	34	15	3	0	0	0
		6	-	1	-	2	2	29	37	20	12
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	2	19	38	29	10	1	0
		5	-	1	-	3					100
9		6	-	3	-	0	0	5	17	29	28	15	5	1	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2			8	19	36	25	11	1
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	0	0	3	16	32	30	14	3	0	0
8		5	-	4	-	0	0	0	0	3	12	24	29	21	9	2	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2					1	11	28	35	20	5
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1				0	1	7	23	35	25	8	1	0
7		4	-	5	-	0				0	0	1	6	17	28	26	15	5	1	0	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2								3	12	35	33	12	2	3
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1							0	2	11	28	34	20	5	0	0
6		3	-	6	-	0						0	0	0	2	10	22	29	23	10	2	0	0
		2	-	5	-	2											5	14	48	29		5
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1										0	5	19	34	28	12	2	0
5		2	-	7	-	0									0	0	1	5	17	28	28	16	5	1	0	0
		1	-	6	-	2														14	29	43	14
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1													1	16	26	35	18	3	0
4		1	-	8	-	0												0	0	3	12	27	35	19	4	0
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1																21	33	33	13
3		0	-	9	-	0															0	1	16	40	35	8

Total:							6	11	11	11	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0