Gruden's Grinders Playoff Chances 2019

Lost to cobra Kai 81.34-146.68, playoff odds down 11 to 3.3%

1-3-0 .250

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Grinders finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

10		9	-	0	-	0	In		62	36	2								2,047
9	.5	8	-	0	-	1	In		16	62	22								37
9		8	-	1	-	0	99.7	%	10	46	36	7	0						17,415
8	.5	7	-	1	-	1	96.3		2	21	48	26	4						376
8		7	-	2	-	0	83.3		0	7	34	42	16	1	0				126,458
		6	-	1	-	2	75.0				25	50		25					4
7	.5	6	-	2	-	1	53.7			1	11	42	40	7	0				2,376
7		6	-	3	-	0	27.1			0	3	24	46	24	3	0			516,200
		5	-	2	-	2	10.5					11	47	37	5				19
6	.5	5	-	3	-	1	5.0				0	5	36	46	13	0			8,342
6		5	-	4	-	0	1.4				0	1	18	46	30	5	0		1,307,024
		4	-	3	-	2	Out						3	31	43	23			61
5	.5	4	-	4	-	1	0.0					0	3	28	52	16	1		17,195
5		4	-	5	-	0	0.0					0	1	14	45	34	6	0	2,134,433
		3	-	4	-	2	Out							4	38	42	17		101
4	.5	3	-	5	-	1	Out							2	28	51	18	0	21,837
4		3	-	6	-	0	Out						0	0	13	45	38	4	2,240,666
		2	-	5	-	2	Out									35	54	11	82
3	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out								2	28	59	11	16,570
3		2	-	7	-	0	Out								0	13	56	30	1,457,004
		1	-	6	-	2	Out										62	38	45
2	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out									2	48	50	7,119
2		1	-	8	-	0	Out									0	26	74	531,357
		0	-	7	-	2	Out											100	6
1	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out										11	89	1,288
1		0	-	9	-	0	Out											100	84,098

Total:							3.3	%	0	0	1	2	6	12	20	24	23	12	8,492,160

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Close but no cigar

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

10		9	-	0	-	0	35	38	21	5	1	0
9	.5	8	-	0	-	1	8	19	43	24	5
9		8	-	1	-	0	1	9	24	31	23	10	2	0	0
8	.5	7	-	1	-	1		1	4	20	29	27	15	2	0
8		7	-	2	-	0	0	0	1	4	13	24	27	19	8	2	0	0
		6	-	1	-	2						25		25	50
7	.5	6	-	2	-	1					1	5	20	33	27	12	2	0
7		6	-	3	-	0				0	0	1	5	15	26	26	17	7	1	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2									26	26	16	32
6	.5	5	-	3	-	1							0	1	7	23	34	24	8	1	0
6		5	-	4	-	0						0	0	0	2	9	20	28	24	13	3	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2										2	2	16	25	31	25
5	.5	4	-	4	-	1									0	0	3	14	32	33	14	3	0
5		4	-	5	-	0									0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	0	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2													2	9	41	32	15	2
4	.5	3	-	5	-	1												0	1	12	31	35	17	3	0
4		3	-	6	-	0											0	0	0	3	15	31	32	16	3	0
		2	-	5	-	2															5	12	34	37	11	1
3	.5	2	-	6	-	1														0	2	14	36	37	11	1
3		2	-	7	-	0														0	0	4	20	40	29	7
		1	-	6	-	2																	7	44	29	20
2	.5	1	-	7	-	1															0	0	5	31	45	19
2		1	-	8	-	0																0	1	14	44	41
		0	-	7	-	2																			17	83
1	.5	0	-	8	-	1																		3	33	64
1		0	-	9	-	0																			16	84

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	13	13	12	9	5