How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake 0 Toronto FC 0 -2.0
-0.7
+0.2
-0.2
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0 +0.6
+0.0
Rapids 1 Revolution 0 +0.5
+0.0
Whitecaps 0 Union 0 +0.4
*+0.0
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0 *+0.2
+0.1
*+0.0
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0 *-0.2
Dynamo 2 Sounders 1 -0.1
Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -1.9
-0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.8
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.8
-0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.5
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.3+0.4*-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto FC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
73-98In99.7%100No781*
7220-7-4In99.1991No316*
7120-6-5In99.6100No525*
7020-5-6In98.81000No858*
6919-7-5In97.9991No1,390*
6819-6-6In96.6991No2,058*
6718-8-5In94.59820No2,838*
6618-7-6In92.69730No4,274*
6518-6-7In89.29640No5,765*
6417-8-6In84.49460No8,143*
6317-7-7In77.2901000No11,058*
6217-6-8In68.5861410No14,495*
6116-8-7In59.9811810No18,870*
6016-7-8In48.27424200No24,283*
5916-6-9In36.3663040No30,774*
5815-8-8In25.45636710No38,101*
5715-7-9In15.7464112100No45,940*
5614-9-8In8.2354418300No54,563*
5514-8-9100.0%3.62543256100No63,456*
5414-7-10In1.21640311120No72,865*
5313-9-9100.00.39323618400No82,886*
5213-8-1099.90.052336269100No90,547*
5113-7-1199.50.0214323216400No99,003*
5012-9-1098.2No172334249200No105,240*
4912-8-1194.9No03143031164100No109,748*
4812-7-1287.9No01722332510200No112,912*
4711-9-1175.7No003132831185100No114,466*
4611-8-1258.2No001619322712200No113,058*
4510-10-1139.8No00211263221610No109,697*
4410-9-1223.3No0151731291330No104,583*
4310-8-1311.4No002925342271No97,645*
429-10-124.7No0041733311320.0%90,567*
419-9-131.6No002927362240.081,174*
409-8-140.5No00418363190.270,889*
398-10-130.2No002113239161.061,632*
388-9-140.0No0162543253.151,954*
378-8-150.0No0031744367.742,956*
367-10-140.0No00111414714.734,947*
357-9-15OutNo006355824.728,019*
347-8-16OutNo003296836.621,419*
336-10-15OutNo02227648.616,401*
326-9-16OutNo01168360.512,175*
316-8-17OutNo00118871.68,768*
305-10-16OutNo079379.76,201*
295-9-17OutNo059584.94,347*
285-8-18OutNo049689.42,821*
275-7-19OutNo019895.21,781*
264-9-18OutNo19995.41,220*
254-8-19OutNo19998.1723*
244-7-20OutNo010098.7445*
5-23OutNo10099.6763*
Total:58.5%4.9%10101010109998873.0%2,080,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake 0 Toronto FC 0 +0.3
Whitecaps 0 Union 0 *-0.0
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0 -0.0
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0 -0.0
Rapids 1 Revolution 0 -0.0
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0 *+0.0
Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.3
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
74-98100
7321-5-5991
7220-7-49901
7120-6-51000
7020-5-69910
6919-7-59811
6819-6-69721
6718-8-595320
6618-7-693530
6518-6-789640
6417-8-684960
6317-7-7771310000
6217-6-8691713010
6116-8-7602118010
6016-7-84826231200
5916-6-93629282400
5815-8-825313247010
5715-7-91631338110100
5614-9-882731131713000
5514-8-9422251922260100
5414-7-101151623266100200
5313-9-90982425111714000
5213-8-10053201818223901000
5113-7-110211310222391514000
5012-9-10107320171621390200
4912-8-110031149212291514100
4812-7-120107319161721410200
4711-9-11000301372121111761000
4611-8-12001062181319221451000
4510-10-11000201152119231341000
4410-9-120105116112324145100
4310-8-130002094152624145100
429-10-12000416172725145100
419-9-13000202819282513410
409-8-140000292229241120
398-10-130000031225302171
388-9-1400015162930153
378-8-15000282234268
367-10-140000314323515
357-9-15017254225
347-8-160003184237
336-10-15001113949
326-9-160163361
316-8-17032572
305-10-16011980
295-9-1711485
285-8-1801089
275-7-190595
264-9-180495
254-8-19298
244-7-20199
233-9-19199
223-8-20199
5-21100
Total:5555555555545554444443