Auld Playoff Chances 2016
Plays at Flaxey, Lost to Tippin 6-7, playoff odds down 50.1 to 27.1%
4-4 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 1/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Middaugh 8 Auld 7 | -19.1 | -0.8 | ||
| Auld 7 Kean 6 | +9.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 | +2.8 | +0.2 | ||
| Hastings 7 Tippin 6 | +2.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 | +1.6 | |||
| Morrissey 4 Hastings 8 | +1.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Harrison 8 Tippin 5 | +1.4 | |||
| Kean 3 Homan 8 | +0.3 | |||
| Homan 8 Hanna 7 | +0.2 | |||
| Hanna 6 Flaxey 4 | -0.1 | |||
| Thursday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Auld 6 Harrison 5 | +23.4 | +1.0 | ||
| Morrissey 4 Kean 7 | +5.0 | +0.2 | ||
| Hastings 4 Hanna 10 | +4.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Auld 4 Homan 7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Morrissey 5 Harrison 9 | -1.3 | |||
| Tippin 9 Middaugh 8 | +1.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Hanna 6 Middaugh 5 | +0.9 | |||
| Kean 3 Tippin 7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 | +0.6 | |||
| Friday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tippin 7 Auld 6 | -22.6 | -1.1 | ||
| Hanna 7 Morrissey 4 | -4.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Harrison 6 Flaxey 4 | -3.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Middaugh 8 Kean 7 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Hanna vs Kean | -10.6+40.9 | -0.2+0.6 | ||
| Harrison vs Hastings | -13.3+31.6 | -0.2+0.4 | ||
| Flaxey vs Auld | Out+10.9 | -1.0+0.4 | ||
| Middaugh vs Homan | -19.7+1.5 | -0.7+0.1 | ||
| Tippin vs Morrissey | +2.7-10.5 | +0.0-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Auld finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | 37.9 | % | 6 | 32 | 57 | 5 | 16,509,859 | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 100 | 6,615,161 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 27.1 | % | 4 | 23 | 41 | 32 | 23,125,020 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 1/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Middaugh 8 Auld 7 | +0.8 | |
| Auld 7 Kean 6 | -0.4 | |
| Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 | -0.2 | |
| Morrissey 4 Hastings 8 | -0.1 | |
| Hastings 7 Tippin 6 | -0.1 | |
| Thursday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Auld 6 Harrison 5 | -1.0 | |
| Morrissey 4 Kean 7 | -0.2 | |
| Auld 4 Homan 7 | +0.1 | |
| Tippin 9 Middaugh 8 | -0.1 | |
| Hastings 4 Hanna 10 | -0.1 | |
| Kean 3 Tippin 7 | +0.1 | |
| Friday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tippin 7 Auld 6 | +1.1 | |
| Hanna 7 Morrissey 4 | +0.1 | |
| Harrison 6 Flaxey 4 | +0.1 | |
| Middaugh 8 Kean 7 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Flaxey vs Auld | +1.0-0.4 | |
| Hanna vs Kean | +0.2-0.6 | |
| Middaugh vs Homan | +0.7-0.1 | |
| Harrison vs Hastings | +0.2-0.4 | |
| Tippin vs Morrissey | -0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 32 | 57 | 5 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 23 | 41 | 32 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
