Western Conference Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Hamilton Spectator Trophy			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI

Erie	41	1	20	4		-	1	49	99.9	%	+0.0	31.1	%	+0.4	36	9	28	17	6	3	1	0	0	0	2.7	-0.03	2	Erie Otters
Guelph	41		19	4		-	3	59	99.8		+0.1	23.5		+4.5	28	7	30	20	8	4	2	1	0	0	3.0	+0.22	3	Guelph Storm
Sault Ste. Marie	36	2	17	5		-	2	34	99.4		+0.0	12.2		+0.1	15	46	4	8	13	8	4	2	0	0	3.1	+0.05	6	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds
London	36	2	17	5		-	2	34	99.4		+0.0	12.7		+0.1	15	4	26	27	13	8	4	1	0	0	3.7	-0.02	1	London Knights
Windsor	30	2	15	9		-	0	23	95.6		-1.0	2.1		-1.0	3	17	5	10	20	20	14	7	3	1	5.1	-0.32	5	Windsor Spitfires
Saginaw	31	1	14	8		-	3	16	95.3		+0.2	1.9		+0.0	3	16	4	10	19	21	15	8	3	1	5.2	+0.04	8	Saginaw Spirit
Owen Sound	26	1	11	10		-	4	-16	82.5		+0.5	0.3		+0.0	0	0	2	6	12	18	25	19	12	6	6.9	+0.03	10	Owen Sound Attack
Plymouth	23		11	14		-	1	-23	59.2		+7.2	0.0		+0.0	0	1	0	1	4	9	17	26	24	17	8.0	+0.24	7	Plymouth Whalers

Kitchener	17	3	8	14		-	1	-32	40.5		-7.2	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	1	2	6	11	20	29	30	8.6	-0.23	12	Kitchener Rangers
Sarnia	17	1	8	16		-	1	-26	28.3		+0.2	0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	28	44	9.0	+0.02	14	Sarnia Sting

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Sunday
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Erie			-1.1		-0.1
Guelph	+0.1		+3.3		+0.2
Sault Ste. Marie	+0.1		-0.5
London	+0.1		-0.6		-0.0
Windsor	+0.3		-0.2
Saginaw	+0.4		-0.1
Owen Sound	+1.2
Plymouth	+2.1
Kitchener	-5.9				-0.2
Sarnia	+1.6

Windsor 1 Plymouth 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Erie			+0.2
Guelph			+0.2
Sault Ste. Marie					+0.1
London			+0.2
Windsor	-1.4		-1.1		-0.3
Saginaw	-0.3
Owen Sound	-0.7
Plymouth	+5.0				+0.2
Kitchener	-1.5
Sarnia	-1.0

Oshawa 3 Barrie 5
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Erie			+1.1
Guelph			+0.9
Sault Ste. Marie			+0.6
London			+0.6
Windsor			+0.2
Saginaw			+0.1

Wednesday
Plymouth vs Owen SoundIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Windsor	95.695.395.4*95.595.395.8
Saginaw	*95.395.095.195.295.295.5
Owen Sound	77.681.281.585.585.986.7		0.2*0.30.20.30.40.4		7.26.96.96.76.66.6
Plymouth	65.164.263.457.457.552.5				7.77.87.88.08.08.2
Kitchener	40.039.039.1*40.239.941.6
Sarnia	27.926.927.127.727.729.2

Saginaw vs WindsorHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Windsor	94.095.595.596.696.896.8		1.31.81.82.72.72.8		5.45.25.24.94.84.8
Saginaw	96.696.596.495.1*95.293.8		2.52.42.31.61.71.2		4.94.95.05.35.35.5
Sarnia	28.328.027.927.927.828.5

Sault Ste. Marie vs SudburyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Erie			30.330.430.431.231.232.0
Guelph			22.922.823.0*23.523.924.3
Sault Ste. Marie	99.699.699.699.499.499.1		14.814.714.211.611.79.2		2.92.92.93.13.13.4
London			12.412.412.512.8*12.813.1
Windsor			2.02.02.12.22.12.2		5.15.15.15.15.15.0
Saginaw			1.81.81.81.91.82.0		5.25.25.25.25.25.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.