Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

36 points 17 5-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Oshawa 3 Barrie 5			+0.5
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0			-0.2
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2					+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Sault Ste. Marie vs Sudbury	InInInInIn-0.0		+0.9+0.8+0.6-1.1-1.2-2.5		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Sault Ste. Marie finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Hamilton		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Spectator Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

115	-124						In		Yes		100										837	*
114		38	4		-	2	In		99.4	%	99	1									335	*
113		37	4		-	3	In		98.9		99	1									703	*
112		37	5		-	2	In		98.0		98	2									1,422	*
111		36	5		-	3	In		96.8		97	3									2,767	*
110		36	6		-	2	In		93.9		94	6									4,946	*
109		35	6		-	3	In		89.8		90	10									8,773	*
108		34	6		-	4	In		86.1		87	13									14,376	*
107		34	7		-	3	In		79.5		81	19									22,766	*
106		33	7		-	4	In		72.4		74	26									34,532	*
105		33	8		-	3	In		62.8		65	35	0								50,422	*
104		32	8		-	4	In		52.6		56	44	0	0							70,613	*
103		32	9		-	3	In		41.8		45	55	0	0							95,710	*
102		31	9		-	4	In		31.4		36	64	0	0							125,088	*
101		31	10		-	3	In		21.9		26	74	0	0	0						158,030	*
100		30	10		-	4	In		14.1		18	82	0	0	0						192,120	*
99		30	11		-	3	In		8.4		12	88	0	0	0						227,336	*
98		29	11		-	4	In		4.6		7	92	0	0	0						260,882	*
97		29	12		-	3	In		2.2		4	95	1	1	0						288,118	*
96		28	12		-	4	In		1.0		2	95	1	1	0	0					309,863	*
95		28	13		-	3	In		0.4		1	95	1	2	1	0					323,555	*
94		27	13		-	4	In		0.1		0	93	1	3	2	0					328,997	*
93		27	14		-	3	In		0.0		0	90	1	5	4	0					323,556	*
92		26	14		-	4	In		0.0		0	86	1	6	8	0					309,778	*
91		26	15		-	3	In		0.0		0	80	1	7	13	0					287,892	*
90		25	15		-	4	In		0.0		0	73	0	7	19	1					260,964	*
89		24	15		-	5	In		No		0	65	0	7	27	2	0				231,022	*
88		24	16		-	4	In		No			56	0	6	35	3	0				196,938	*
87		23	16		-	5	In		No			46	0	5	43	6	0				164,831	*
86		23	17		-	4	In		No			37	0	4	49	10	0				134,759	*
85		22	17		-	5	In		No			28	0	3	53	16	0				105,940	*
84		22	18		-	4	In		No			21	0	2	55	23	0				82,574	*
83		21	18		-	5	In		No			14	0	1	53	31	0				61,545	*
82		21	19		-	4	In		No			9		0	49	40	1				45,498	*
81		20	19		-	5	In		No			6		0	43	50	1				32,184	*
80		20	20		-	4	In		No			3		0	36	59	2				22,239	*
79		19	20		-	5	In		No			2		0	29	66	3	0			15,204	*
78		19	21		-	4	In		No			1		0	22	73	5	0			9,950	*
77		18	21		-	5	In		No			0		0	16	76	7	0			6,309	*
76		18	22		-	4	In		No			0			12	78	10	0			4,078	*
75		18	23		-	3	In		No			0			6	77	16	0			2,469	*
74		17	23		-	4	In		No			0			5	75	20	1			1,465	*
73		17	24		-	3	In		No						3	63	32	2			871	*
72		16	24		-	4	In		No						2	61	35	2			506	*
71		15	24		-	5	In		No						1	49	43	7			275	*
70		15	25		-	4	In		No							53	40	7			166	*
69		15	26		-	3	In		No							31	45	24			78	*
68		14	26		-	4	In		No							34	46	20			41	*
67		14	27		-	3	95.2	%	No							24	62	10	5		21	*
66		13	27		-	4	87.5		No							13	50	25	13		8	*
65		13	28		-	3	In		No							14	57	29			7	*
64		12	28		-	4	In		No								50	50			2	*
36		0	44		-	0	Out		No											100	599

Total:							100.0	%	6.8	%	8	73	0	3	12	4	0	0	0	0	4,823,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sault Ste. Marie vs Sudbury	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.4
Saginaw vs Windsor	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

115	-124						100
114		38	4		-	2	99		1
113		37	4		-	3	99	0	1
112		37	5		-	2	98	0	2
111		36	5		-	3	97	0	3
110		36	6		-	2	94	0	6
109		35	6		-	3	90	0	10
108		34	6		-	4	86	1	13
107		34	7		-	3	80	1	19
106		33	7		-	4	72	2	26
105		33	8		-	3	63	2	35		0
104		32	8		-	4	53	3	44		0		0
103		32	9		-	3	42	4	55	0	0		0
102		31	9		-	4	31	4	64	0	0		0
101		31	10		-	3	22	4	74	0	0		0		0
100		30	10		-	4	14	4	82	0	0		0		0
99		30	11		-	3	8	3	88	0	0		0		0
98		29	11		-	4	5	2	91	1	0		0		0
97		29	12		-	3	2	2	93	2	1	0	1		0
96		28	12		-	4	1	1	93	3	1	0	1		0		0
95		28	13		-	3	0	1	90	5	1	0	2		1		0
94		27	13		-	4	0	0	86	7	1	0	3		2		0
93		27	14		-	3	0	0	80	10	1	0	5		4		0
92		26	14		-	4	0	0	72	14	1	0	6		8		0
91		26	15		-	3	0	0	63	17	1	0	7		13		0
90		25	15		-	4	0	0	53	20	0	0	7		19		1
89		24	15		-	5		0	42	23	0	0	7	0	27		2		0
88		24	16		-	4			32	24	0	0	6	0	35		3		0
87		23	16		-	5			22	24	0	0	5	0	43		6		0
86		23	17		-	4			15	22	0	0	4	0	49		10		0
85		22	17		-	5			9	19	0	0	3	0	53		16		0
84		22	18		-	4			5	15		0	2	0	55	0	23		0
83		21	18		-	5			3	11		0	1	0	53	0	31		0
82		21	19		-	4			1	8			0	0	49	0	40		1
81		20	19		-	5			1	5			0	0	43	0	50		1
80		20	20		-	4			0	3			0	0	36	0	59		2
79		19	20		-	5			0	2			0	0	29	0	66	0	3		0
78		19	21		-	4			0	1			0	0	21	0	72	0	5		0
77		18	21		-	5			0	0			0		16	1	76	0	7		0
76		18	22		-	4				0					11	1	78	0	10		0
75		18	23		-	3				0					5	1	77	1	16		0
74		17	23		-	4				0					4	1	73	2	20		1
73		17	24		-	3									2	1	60	4	32	0	2
72		16	24		-	4									1	1	55	7	35	0	2
71		15	24		-	5									1	1	41	8	41	1	7
70		15	25		-	4											39	14	38	2	7
69		15	26		-	3											22	9	40	5	24
68		14	26		-	4											17	17	44	2	20
67		14	27		-	3											10	14	52	10	10		5
66		13	27		-	4												13	50		25		13
65		13	28		-	3												14	43	14	29
64		12	28		-	4														50		50
36		0	44		-	0																			0	100

Total:							7	1	64	9	0	0	3	0	12	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0