How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2 +5.0
+0.2
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0 +2.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Plymouth vs Owen Sound+5.8+5.0+4.1-1.8-1.8-6.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Plymouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHamiltonChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsSpectator Trophy12345678910Count
107420-0InYes100212
98374-1InNo1001
97353-4In33.3%33673*
96354-3InYes1003*
95355-2In66.778229*
94334-5In60.06033715*
93335-4In53.16628632*
92336-3In43.445475299*
91326-4In24.03158111196*
90327-3In20.22758132366*
89317-4In8.614592160671*
88307-5In4.9957211221,129*
87308-4In1.64551917501,949*
86298-5In0.734718238103,233*
85299-4In0.2138152716205,043*
84289-5In0.0030113024507,732*
832810-4In0.002172834101011,177*
822710-5InNo01542339182016,115*
812711-4InNo01021541275022,542*
802611-5InNo5110373611130,198*
792612-4100.0%No3053042182039,236*
782512-599.9No2022142285049,065*
772513-499.7No10113403610059,917*
762413-599.0No00073243171071,302*
752414-497.7No0042445252082,788*
742314-595.1No0011644355092,915*
732315-490.7No0019384390101,201*
722215-583.9No053049151107,576*
712216-475.1No022251232111,558*
702116-565.0No011549314112,576*
692117-454.0No00944388109,499*
682017-543.0No05384413104,974*
672018-432.7No0330491997,626*
661918-523.7No0122502688,260*
651919-416.4No0116493578,244*
641819-511.0No0011454467,081*
631820-47.0No007405356,289*
621720-54.3No04346145,487*
611721-42.5No02286936,005*
601621-51.4No01227627,889*
591622-40.6No1168320,994*
581522-50.4No0128715,220*
571523-40.2No099110,786*
561423-50.2No06947,532*
551424-40.0No04965,059*
541324-50.0No02983,367*
531325-4OutNo2982,100*
521225-5OutNo1991,248*
511226-4OutNo199743*
501126-5OutNo0100491*
23-49OutNo100727*
Total:59.2%0.0%010149172624171,708,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2 -0.4
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Plymouth vs Owen Sound-0.5-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.5
Saginaw vs Windsor-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920
107420-0100
98374-1100
97353-43367
96354-3100
95344-4671122
94334-560337
93335-45313286
92336-343246152
91326-424758111
90327-320658132
89317-4965812160
88307-554551210122
87308-4225321901750
86298-51244318023810
85299-401335141271620
84289-5002361013002450
832810-40015761280341010
822710-5096312203901820
812711-40451115141027050
802611-524009137036111
792612-41200412914201820
782512-501002120142028050
772513-401000112390360100
762413-5000000523114301710
752414-40000212124502520
742314-500001112342135050
732315-400006335343090
722215-50023255481151
712216-400121664922320
702116-50018744530500
692117-40003636938800
682017-500142513421410
672018-400021515442220
661918-5001814403150
651919-40013123338111
641819-5000192542193
631820-4000061742287
621720-500410363713
611721-40025294220
601621-50013214430
591622-411144341
581522-50193951
571523-40053362
561423-50032671
551424-40012079
541324-5011485
531325-401089
521225-50792
511226-40595
501126-5397
491127-4298
481128-3199
23-47100
Total:001000104081152215181264