Plymouth Whalers Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Beat Windsor 2-1, playoff odds up 12.6 to 63.6%

23 points 11 14-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2	+6.8				+0.2
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	+1.5				+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Plymouth vs Owen Sound	+5.0+4.3+3.6-1.5-1.5-6.4		+0.0NoNoNoNoNo		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Plymouth finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Hamilton		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Spectator Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

107		42	0		-	0	In		94.0	%	94	6									599
92		33	6		-	3	In		No			100									1
91		33	7		-	2	In		No			50	50								2
90		32	7		-	3	In		No					50	50						2	*
89		31	7		-	4	In		No			33		33	33						9	*
88		30	7		-	5	In		No			17		17	52	13					23	*
87		29	7		-	6	In		No			9		9	66	17					47	*
86		29	8		-	5	In		No			13		6	51	27	3				109	*
85		28	8		-	6	In		No			6		5	48	38	3				177	*
84		28	9		-	5	In		No			3		2	43	43	10				419	*
83		27	9		-	6	In		No			2		1	33	52	12				796	*
82		27	10		-	5	In		No			1		1	25	56	18	0			1,423	*
81		26	10		-	6	In		No			0		0	18	55	26	0			2,499	*
80		26	11		-	5	In		No			0		0	13	51	36	0			4,263	*
79		25	11		-	6	In		No			0		0	8	46	44	1			6,903	*
78		25	12		-	5	100.0	%	No						5	41	53	2	0		11,033	*
77		24	12		-	6	In		No						3	33	61	4			17,158	*
76		24	13		-	5	100.0		No						1	26	67	6	0		25,786	*
75		23	13		-	6	100.0		No						1	19	71	9	0		37,224	*
74		23	14		-	5	100.0		No						0	14	73	13	0		52,234	*
73		22	14		-	6	99.9		No						0	9	72	19	0		71,319	*
72		22	15		-	5	99.8		No						0	6	69	24	0		94,392	*
71		21	15		-	6	99.7		No						0	4	65	31	0		121,658	*
70		21	16		-	5	99.3		No						0	2	59	38	1	0	152,831	*
69		20	16		-	6	98.7		No							1	52	46	1	0	185,347	*
68		20	17		-	5	97.4		No						0	1	44	53	3	0	218,800	*
67		19	17		-	6	95.4		No							0	36	59	4	0	250,856	*
66		19	18		-	5	92.5		No							0	28	64	7	0	279,534	*
65		18	18		-	6	88.1		No							0	21	67	11	0	303,305	*
64		18	19		-	5	82.4		No							0	15	67	17	1	319,629	*
63		17	19		-	6	75.4		No							0	10	65	23	2	326,119	*
62		17	20		-	5	66.6		No							0	7	60	30	3	324,181	*
61		16	20		-	6	57.1		No							0	4	53	37	6	312,440	*
60		16	21		-	5	47.4		No							0	2	45	43	9	295,249	*
59		15	21		-	6	37.9		No								1	37	48	14	269,187	*
58		15	22		-	5	28.9		No								1	28	51	20	238,264	*
57		14	22		-	6	21.2		No								0	21	51	28	205,665	*
56		14	23		-	5	14.7		No								0	15	49	36	170,827	*
55		13	23		-	6	9.7		No								0	10	45	45	138,138	*
54		13	24		-	5	6.3		No								0	6	40	54	109,711	*
53		12	24		-	6	3.8		No								0	4	33	63	83,584	*
52		12	25		-	5	2.2		No									2	27	71	61,904	*
51		11	25		-	6	1.2		No									1	21	78	44,240	*
50		11	26		-	5	0.7		No									1	15	84	31,176	*
49		10	26		-	6	0.3		No									0	11	89	20,576	*
48		10	27		-	5	0.1		No									0	7	93	13,485	*
47		9	27		-	6	0.1		No									0	5	95	8,465	*
46		9	28		-	5	Out		No										3	97	5,133	*
45		9	29		-	4	Out		No										2	98	3,013	*
44		8	29		-	5	Out		No										1	99	1,747	*
43		8	30		-	4	Out		No										1	99	961	*
42		7	30		-	5	Out		No										0	100	461	*
41		7	31		-	4	Out		No										1	99	231	*
40		6	31		-	5	Out		No										1	99	122	*
23	-39						Out		No											100	703	*

Total:							63.6	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	20	43	24	12	4,823,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2	-0.4
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Plymouth vs Owen Sound	-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

107		42	0		-	0	94	1	6
92		33	6		-	3				100
91		33	7		-	2			50		50
90		32	7		-	3							50		50
89		31	7		-	4			22	11			33		33
88		30	7		-	5			4	13			17		52		13
87		29	7		-	6			6	2			9		66		17
86		29	8		-	5			4	9			6		51		27		3
85		28	8		-	6			2	3			5		48		38		3
84		28	9		-	5			0	2			2		43		43		10
83		27	9		-	6			0	2			1		33		52		12
82		27	10		-	5			0	1			1		25		56		18		0
81		26	10		-	6			0	0			0	0	18		55		26		0
80		26	11		-	5				0				0	13		51		36		0
79		25	11		-	6				0				0	8	0	46		44		1
78		25	12		-	5									5	0	41		53		2		0
77		24	12		-	6									3	0	33	0	61		4
76		24	13		-	5									1	0	25	0	67		6		0
75		23	13		-	6									1	0	19	0	71	0	9		0
74		23	14		-	5									0	0	13	0	73	0	13		0
73		22	14		-	6									0	0	9	0	72	0	19		0
72		22	15		-	5									0	0	6	0	69	0	24		0
71		21	15		-	6									0	0	3	1	64	1	31	0	0
70		21	16		-	5									0	0	2	1	57	2	38	0	1	0
69		20	16		-	6											1	0	49	3	46	0	1	0
68		20	17		-	5										0	0	0	39	5	53	0	3	0
67		19	17		-	6											0	0	29	7	58	1	4	0
66		19	18		-	5											0	0	20	9	61	3	7	0
65		18	18		-	6											0	0	12	9	61	6	11	0	0
64		18	19		-	5											0	0	6	9	56	11	17	1	0	0
63		17	19		-	6												0	3	8	48	17	22	2	0	0
62		17	20		-	5												0	1	6	37	23	28	5	0	0
61		16	20		-	6												0	0	4	25	28	33	9	1	0
60		16	21		-	5												0	0	2	15	30	36	15	2	0
59		15	21		-	6													0	1	8	29	34	22	5	0
58		15	22		-	5													0	1	4	25	30	30	10	1
57		14	22		-	6														0	2	19	24	35	17	3
56		14	23		-	5														0	1	14	17	37	25	6
55		13	23		-	6														0	0	10	11	35	34	11
54		13	24		-	5														0	0	6	7	29	41	18
53		12	24		-	6														0	0	4	3	22	44	27
52		12	25		-	5																2	2	15	44	37
51		11	25		-	6																1	1	10	39	48
50		11	26		-	5																1	0	6	34	59
49		10	26		-	6																0	0	3	27	69
48		10	27		-	5																0	0	2	21	78
47		9	27		-	6																0		1	16	83
46		9	28		-	5																		0	10	90
45		9	29		-	4																		0	7	93
44		8	29		-	5																		0	4	96
43		8	30		-	4																		0	3	97
42		7	30		-	5																			1	99
41		7	31		-	4																			3	97
40		6	31		-	5																			2	98
23	-39																									100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	0	16	4	30	12	16	10	7	4