Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Owen Sound Attack Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 82.5%

26 points 11 10-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	+1.2
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2	-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Plymouth vs Owen Sound	-4.9-1.2-1.0+3.0+3.5+4.2		-0.1*-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Owen Sound finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Hamilton		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Spectator Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

100	-112						In		Yes		100										221	*
99		34	4		-	5	In		90.9	%	91		9								11	*
98		34	5		-	4	In		96.6		97		3								29	*
97		34	6		-	3	In		93.2		93		7								44	*
96		33	6		-	4	In		82.4		84	2	13	2							131	*
95		33	7		-	3	In		75.4		79	5	16								228	*
94		32	7		-	4	In		66.7		74	6	18	1							433	*
93		32	8		-	3	In		54.7		61	8	28	3							810	*
92		31	8		-	4	In		40.8		50	12	33	5	0						1,376	*
91		30	8		-	5	In		30.5		39	11	42	8	0						2,227	*
90		30	9		-	4	In		18.2		26	13	47	13	1	0					3,724	*
89		29	9		-	5	In		11.8		18	11	47	21	2	0					5,687	*
88		29	10		-	4	In		5.9		11	10	46	29	4	0					8,418	*
87		28	10		-	5	In		2.4		5	9	41	36	9	0					12,272	*
86		28	11		-	4	In		0.9		3	6	33	42	15	1	0				17,580	*
85		27	11		-	5	In		0.3		1	4	25	45	23	2	0				23,614	*
84		27	12		-	4	In		0.1		0	2	17	43	32	6	0				31,615	*
83		26	12		-	5	In		0.0		0	1	10	37	40	10	1	0			40,345	*
82		26	13		-	4	In		0.0		0	1	5	29	45	18	2	0			50,614	*
81		25	13		-	5	100.0	%	No		0	0	2	20	46	27	5	0	0		61,814	*
80		25	14		-	4	In		No		0	0	1	12	41	36	9	0			72,849	*
79		24	14		-	5	100.0		No			0	0	6	33	43	16	1	0		83,328	*
78		24	15		-	4	100.0		No			0	0	3	24	46	25	2	0		92,907	*
77		23	15		-	5	99.9		No			0	0	1	16	44	35	4	0	0	101,362	*
76		23	16		-	4	99.6		No				0	0	9	38	43	9	0	0	107,425	*
75		22	16		-	5	98.9		No					0	5	30	50	15	1	0	110,184	*
74		22	17		-	4	97.4		No					0	2	22	51	23	3	0	110,760	*
73		21	17		-	5	94.7		No					0	1	14	49	31	5	0	109,148	*
72		21	18		-	4	90.2		No					0	0	8	43	39	9	1	103,411	*
71		20	18		-	5	83.3		No					0	0	4	34	44	15	1	95,952	*
70		20	19		-	4	74.2		No						0	2	26	46	23	3	86,383	*
69		19	19		-	5	63.9		No						0	1	18	45	31	6	77,046	*
68		19	20		-	4	51.8		No							0	11	40	39	10	65,889	*
67		18	20		-	5	40.6		No						0	0	7	34	44	15	54,488	*
66		18	21		-	4	29.9		No							0	4	26	48	22	44,621	*
65		17	21		-	5	20.9		No							0	2	19	48	31	35,562	*
64		17	22		-	4	14.0		No								1	13	47	39	27,353	*
63		16	22		-	5	8.5		No								0	8	41	50	20,920	*
62		16	23		-	4	5.4		No								0	5	36	59	15,231	*
61		15	23		-	5	3.0		No								0	3	29	68	10,896	*
60		15	24		-	4	1.6		No								0	2	24	74	7,547	*
59		14	24		-	5	0.8		No									1	18	81	5,088	*
58		14	25		-	4	0.5		No								0	1	13	87	3,340	*
57		13	25		-	5	0.0		No									0	10	90	2,125	*
56		13	26		-	4	Out		No										6	94	1,395	*
55		12	26		-	5	0.1		No									0	4	96	800	*
54		12	27		-	4	Out		No										4	96	457	*
53		11	27		-	5	Out		No										2	98	281	*
52		11	28		-	4	Out		No										1	99	156	*
51		10	28		-	5	Out		No										1	99	89	*
26	-50						Out		No											100	294	*

Total:							82.5	%	0.3	%	0	0	2	6	12	18	25	19	12	6	1,708,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Plymouth vs Owen Sound	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

100	-112						100
99		34	4		-	5	91				9
98		34	5		-	4	97				3
97		34	6		-	3	93				7
96		33	6		-	4	82	2	2		13		2
95		33	7		-	3	75	4	5		16
94		32	7		-	4	67	8	6		18		1
93		32	8		-	3	55	6	8		28		3
92		31	8		-	4	41	9	12		33		5		0
91		30	8		-	5	31	8	11		42	0	8		0
90		30	9		-	4	18	8	12	0	46	0	13		1		0
89		29	9		-	5	12	6	11	0	47	0	21		2		0
88		29	10		-	4	6	5	9	0	46	0	29		4		0
87		28	10		-	5	2	3	8	0	40	1	36		9		0
86		28	11		-	4	1	2	5	1	32	1	42	0	15		1		0
85		27	11		-	5	0	1	4	1	24	1	45	0	23		2		0
84		27	12		-	4	0	0	2	0	15	2	43	0	32		6		0
83		26	12		-	5	0	0	1	0	8	2	37	0	40		10		1		0
82		26	13		-	4	0	0	0	0	4	1	28	0	45	0	18		2		0
81		25	13		-	5		0	0	0	1	1	19	1	46	0	27		5		0		0
80		25	14		-	4		0	0	0	0	0	11	1	41	0	36		9		0
79		24	14		-	5			0	0	0	0	5	1	32	1	43	0	16		1		0
78		24	15		-	4			0	0	0	0	2	1	23	1	46	0	25	0	2		0
77		23	15		-	5			0	0	0	0	1	1	14	2	44	0	35	0	4		0	0
76		23	16		-	4						0	0	0	7	2	37	1	43	0	9		0	0
75		22	16		-	5							0	0	3	2	28	2	49	0	14	0	1	0
74		22	17		-	4							0	0	1	1	18	4	50	1	22	0	3	0
73		21	17		-	5							0	0	0	1	10	4	46	3	31	0	5	0
72		21	18		-	4								0	0	0	4	4	37	5	38	0	9	1
71		20	18		-	5								0	0	0	1	3	26	8	43	1	15	1
70		20	19		-	4										0	0	2	15	11	42	4	23	3	0
69		19	19		-	5										0	0	1	8	10	37	8	30	6	0
68		19	20		-	4											0	0	3	8	28	12	37	11	0	0
67		18	20		-	5										0		0	1	6	18	15	40	18	1	0
66		18	21		-	4												0	0	3	10	16	40	26	4	0
65		17	21		-	5												0	0	2	5	14	35	35	9	1
64		17	22		-	4													0	1	2	11	27	40	16	3
63		16	22		-	5														0	1	8	18	42	25	6
62		16	23		-	4														0	0	5	12	38	34	11
61		15	23		-	5														0	0	3	7	31	41	18
60		15	24		-	4														0		2	3	24	44	27
59		14	24		-	5															0	1	2	16	44	38
58		14	25		-	4														0		1	1	10	41	48
57		13	25		-	5																0	0	7	35	58
56		13	26		-	4																	0	3	30	67
55		12	26		-	5																0		2	22	76
54		12	27		-	4																		2	19	79
53		11	27		-	5																			13	87
52		11	28		-	4																			8	92
51		10	28		-	5																			4	96
50		10	29		-	4																			4	96
49		10	30		-	3																				100
48		10	31		-	2																			10	90
26	-47																									100

Total:							0	0	0	0	2	0	6	0	11	1	17	1	22	3	16	3	10	5	2	1