Niagara IceDogs Playoff Chances 2013-2014Lost to Ottawa 2-5, playoff odds down 10.2 to 28.7% 16 points 6 16-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Hamilton Spectator Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Ottawa 5 Niagara 2 | -6.4 | | No | | -0.2 | | Kingston 7 Mississauga 5 | +0.3 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Hamilton Spectator Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Belleville vs Mississauga | -0.3-0.8-0.7*-0.1*-0.1+0.7 | | | | | | Sault Ste. Marie vs Sudbury | +0.2*-0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.5-0.4 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Niagara finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Hamilton | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Spectator Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 42 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 42.7 | % | 83 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | 599 | | 87 | | 33 | 4 | - | 5 | In | No | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 84 | | 31 | 5 | - | 6 | In | No | | 20 | 60 | 20 | | | | | | | 5 | * | 83 | | 33 | 8 | - | 1 | In | No | | 20 | 80 | | | | | | | | 5 | * | 82 | | 31 | 7 | - | 4 | In | No | | 31 | 63 | 6 | | | | | | | 16 | * | 81 | | 30 | 7 | - | 5 | In | No | | 21 | 50 | 29 | | | | | | | 34 | * | 80 | | 30 | 8 | - | 4 | In | No | | 19 | 40 | 39 | 2 | | | | | | 62 | * | 79 | | 29 | 8 | - | 5 | In | No | | 3 | 48 | 42 | 7 | | | | | | 121 | * | 78 | | 29 | 9 | - | 4 | In | No | | 3 | 38 | 52 | 7 | 1 | | | | | 316 | * | 77 | | 28 | 9 | - | 5 | In | No | | 6 | 29 | 52 | 12 | 0 | | | | | 482 | * | 76 | | 27 | 9 | - | 6 | In | No | | 3 | 22 | 55 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | 1,059 | * | 75 | | 27 | 10 | - | 5 | In | No | | 1 | 16 | 56 | 24 | 3 | | | | | 1,843 | * | 74 | | 26 | 10 | - | 6 | In | No | | 1 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 6 | 0 | | | | 3,139 | * | 73 | | 26 | 11 | - | 5 | In | No | | 0 | 6 | 42 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | 5,128 | * | 72 | | 25 | 11 | - | 6 | In | No | | 0 | 3 | 33 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | 8,678 | * | 71 | | 25 | 12 | - | 5 | In | No | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 5 | 0 | | | 13,575 | * | 70 | | 24 | 12 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | No | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | 20,661 | * | 69 | | 24 | 13 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | 30,463 | * | 68 | | 23 | 13 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | No | | | 0 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 43,451 | * | 67 | | 23 | 14 | - | 5 | 99.1 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60,500 | * | 66 | | 22 | 14 | - | 6 | 97.8 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 82,112 | * | 65 | | 22 | 15 | - | 5 | 95.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 106,827 | * | 64 | | 21 | 15 | - | 6 | 90.2 | | No | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 135,266 | * | 63 | | 21 | 16 | - | 5 | 82.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 42 | 16 | 1 | 167,180 | * | 62 | | 20 | 16 | - | 6 | 73.4 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 2 | 200,407 | * | 61 | | 20 | 17 | - | 5 | 61.7 | | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 35 | 4 | 233,201 | * | 60 | | 19 | 17 | - | 6 | 49.3 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 44 | 6 | 264,427 | * | 59 | | 19 | 18 | - | 5 | 37.4 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 52 | 11 | 291,555 | * | 58 | | 18 | 18 | - | 6 | 26.6 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 57 | 17 | 309,965 | * | 57 | | 18 | 19 | - | 5 | 17.9 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 24 | 322,675 | * | 56 | | 17 | 19 | - | 6 | 11.4 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 33 | 327,402 | * | 55 | | 17 | 20 | - | 5 | 6.8 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 319,872 | * | 54 | | 16 | 20 | - | 6 | 4.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 46 | 50 | 305,011 | * | 53 | | 16 | 21 | - | 5 | 2.1 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 39 | 59 | 282,793 | * | 52 | | 15 | 21 | - | 6 | 1.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 32 | 67 | 254,825 | * | 51 | | 15 | 22 | - | 5 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 26 | 74 | 223,202 | * | 50 | | 14 | 22 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 20 | 80 | 190,125 | * | 49 | | 14 | 23 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 15 | 85 | 156,089 | * | 48 | | 13 | 23 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 125,107 | * | 47 | | 13 | 24 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 97,432 | * | 46 | | 12 | 24 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 73,680 | * | 45 | | 12 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 54,051 | * | 44 | | 11 | 25 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 38,229 | * | 43 | | 11 | 26 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 26,537 | * | 42 | | 10 | 26 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 17,589 | * | 41 | | 10 | 27 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 11,224 | * | 40 | | 9 | 27 | - | 6 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 7,067 | * | 39 | | 9 | 28 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 4,154 | * | 38 | | 9 | 29 | - | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 2,418 | * | 37 | | 8 | 29 | - | 5 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 1,392 | * | 16 | -36 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 2,008 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 28.7 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 37 | 4,823,960 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesSunday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Ottawa 5 Niagara 2 | +0.4 | | | Wednesday | None |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 42 | 0 | - | 0 | 43 | 41 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | | 33 | 4 | - | 5 | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | | 31 | 5 | - | 6 | | | | 20 | | 60 | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | | 33 | 8 | - | 1 | | | | 20 | | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 82 | | 31 | 7 | - | 4 | | | | 31 | | 63 | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | | 30 | 7 | - | 5 | | | | 21 | | 50 | | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 30 | 8 | - | 4 | | | | 19 | | 40 | | 39 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 79 | | 29 | 8 | - | 5 | | | | 3 | | 48 | | 42 | | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | | 29 | 9 | - | 4 | | | | 3 | | 38 | | 52 | 0 | 7 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | 77 | | 28 | 9 | - | 5 | | | | 6 | | 29 | | 52 | 0 | 12 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 76 | | 27 | 9 | - | 6 | | | | 3 | | 22 | | 55 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 75 | | 27 | 10 | - | 5 | | | | 1 | | 16 | | 56 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 74 | | 26 | 10 | - | 6 | | | | 1 | | 9 | | 50 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | 73 | | 26 | 11 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 6 | | 42 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 72 | | 25 | 11 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 3 | | 33 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 71 | | 25 | 12 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 1 | | 23 | | 44 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 70 | | 24 | 12 | - | 6 | | | | 0 | | 1 | | 14 | | 41 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 69 | | 24 | 13 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 8 | | 33 | 0 | 39 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 68 | | 23 | 13 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | 4 | | 24 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 67 | | 23 | 14 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | | 16 | 0 | 38 | 10 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | 66 | | 22 | 14 | - | 6 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | | 9 | 0 | 31 | 8 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | | | 65 | | 22 | 15 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 4 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 35 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 64 | | 21 | 15 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 63 | | 21 | 16 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | | 8 | 2 | 30 | 20 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | 62 | | 20 | 16 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 4 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 61 | | 20 | 17 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 16 | 11 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60 | | 19 | 17 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 59 | | 19 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 58 | | 18 | 18 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 25 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 57 | | 18 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 36 | 23 | 4 | 56 | | 17 | 19 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 36 | 31 | 8 | 55 | | 17 | 20 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 14 | 54 | | 16 | 20 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 44 | 22 | 53 | | 16 | 21 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 31 | 52 | | 15 | 21 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 51 | | 15 | 22 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 52 | 50 | | 14 | 22 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 62 | 49 | | 14 | 23 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 48 | | 13 | 23 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 78 | 47 | | 13 | 24 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 46 | | 12 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 45 | | 12 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 44 | | 11 | 25 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 43 | | 11 | 26 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 42 | | 10 | 26 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 41 | | 10 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 40 | | 9 | 27 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 39 | | 9 | 28 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 38 | | 9 | 29 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 37 | | 8 | 29 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 36 | | 8 | 30 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 33 | -35 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 32 | | 6 | 32 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 16 | -31 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 23 |
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