London Knights Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 99.4%

36 points 17 5-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	+0.1		-0.6		-0.0
Windsor 1 Plymouth 2	*-0.0		+0.2
Oshawa 3 Barrie 5			+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Sault Ste. Marie vs Sudbury			-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1*+0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the London finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Hamilton		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Spectator Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

106	-124						In		Yes		100										794	*
105		32	7		-	5	In		99.6	%	100	0	0								553	*
104		32	8		-	4	In		99.3		99	0	0								873	*
103		31	8		-	5	In		98.3		99	0	1								1,602	*
102		31	9		-	4	In		97.6		98	0	2								2,540	*
101		30	9		-	5	In		96.7		97	0	3	0							4,167	*
100		30	10		-	4	In		94.7		95	0	4								6,439	*
99		29	10		-	5	In		91.8		93	1	6	0							9,401	*
98		29	11		-	4	In		87.8		90	1	9	0							13,284	*
97		28	11		-	5	In		82.2		85	2	13	0							18,647	*
96		28	12		-	4	In		74.9		79	3	18	1							25,154	*
95		27	12		-	5	In		66.1		71	4	23	1							33,062	*
94		27	13		-	4	In		57.2		63	5	29	2							42,307	*
93		26	13		-	5	In		46.7		54	7	35	4	0						52,251	*
92		26	14		-	4	In		35.8		44	8	42	6	0						62,830	*
91		25	14		-	5	In		25.8		34	10	47	10	0						73,667	*
90		25	15		-	4	In		17.2		25	10	50	15	0						84,167	*
89		24	15		-	5	In		10.3		17	10	52	21	0	0					94,021	*
88		23	15		-	6	In		5.6		11	9	51	28	1	0					101,404	*
87		23	16		-	5	In		2.6		6	8	47	36	2	0					106,216	*
86		22	16		-	6	In		1.0		3	6	41	45	5	0	0				109,788	*
85		22	17		-	5	In		0.4		1	5	33	51	9	0	0				109,510	*
84		21	17		-	6	In		0.1		1	3	25	55	15	1	0				107,283	*
83		21	18		-	5	In		0.0		0	2	17	54	23	3	0				101,158	*
82		20	18		-	6	In		0.0		0	1	11	49	32	7	0	0			94,009	*
81		20	19		-	5	In		0.0		0	1	6	41	40	12	1	0			84,967	*
80		19	19		-	6	In		No		0	0	3	30	44	20	3	0			75,294	*
79		19	20		-	5	100.0	%	No			0	1	20	43	29	6	0	0		64,774	*
78		18	20		-	6	100.0		No			0	0	12	39	37	11	1	0		53,550	*
77		18	21		-	5	99.9		No			0	0	6	30	42	19	2	0		43,700	*
76		17	21		-	6	99.8		No			0	0	3	21	43	28	5	0	0	35,205	*
75		17	22		-	5	99.3		No					1	13	39	36	10	1	0	27,215	*
74		16	22		-	6	98.3		No					0	7	31	43	17	2	0	20,695	*
73		16	23		-	5	95.5		No					0	3	23	44	25	4	0	15,196	*
72		15	23		-	6	91.1		No					0	2	14	41	34	8	0	10,915	*
71		15	24		-	5	83.2		No					0	1	9	34	39	15	2	7,450	*
70		14	24		-	6	74.4		No						0	4	25	45	23	3	5,145	*
69		14	25		-	5	63.5		No						0	2	18	44	31	5	3,396	*
68		14	26		-	4	49.4		No						0	1	11	38	40	11	2,233	*
67		13	26		-	5	34.3		No							0	6	28	46	19	1,388	*
66		13	27		-	4	27.0		No							0	3	23	46	27	844	*
65		12	27		-	5	15.6		No								1	15	52	33	494	*
64		12	28		-	4	9.9		No									10	37	53	313	*
63		11	28		-	5	4.0		No								1	3	38	58	173	*
62		10	28		-	6	2.2		No									2	30	68	91	*
61		10	29		-	5	Out		No										20	80	55	*
60		10	30		-	4	Out		No										17	83	23	*
59		10	31		-	3	Out		No										11	89	18	*
58		10	32		-	2	Out		No										20	80	5	*
36	-57						Out		No											100	214	*

Total:							99.4	%	12.7	%	15	4	26	27	13	8	4	1	0	0	1,708,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	+0.1

Wednesday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

106	-124						100
105		32	7		-	5	100		0		0
104		32	8		-	4	99	0	0		0
103		31	8		-	5	98	0	0		1
102		31	9		-	4	98	0	0		2
101		30	9		-	5	97	0	0		3		0
100		30	10		-	4	95	1	0		4
99		29	10		-	5	92	1	1		6		0
98		29	11		-	4	88	2	1		9		0
97		28	11		-	5	82	3	2		13		0
96		28	12		-	4	75	4	3		18		1
95		27	12		-	5	66	5	4		23		1
94		27	13		-	4	57	6	5		29	0	2
93		26	13		-	5	47	7	7	0	35	0	4		0
92		26	14		-	4	36	8	8	0	42	0	6		0
91		25	14		-	5	26	8	9	0	46	0	10		0
90		25	15		-	4	17	8	10	0	50	0	15		0
89		24	15		-	5	10	6	10	0	52	0	21		0		0
88		23	15		-	6	6	5	9	0	50	0	28		1		0
87		23	16		-	5	3	4	8	0	46	1	36	0	2		0
86		22	16		-	6	1	2	6	1	40	1	45	0	5		0		0
85		22	17		-	5	0	1	4	1	32	2	51	0	9		0		0
84		21	17		-	6	0	0	2	1	22	2	55	0	15		1		0
83		21	18		-	5	0	0	1	1	14	3	54	0	23	0	3		0
82		20	18		-	6	0	0	1	0	8	3	49	1	32	0	7		0		0
81		20	19		-	5	0	0	0	0	4	2	39	1	40	0	12		1		0
80		19	19		-	6		0	0	0	1	1	28	3	44	0	20		3		0
79		19	20		-	5			0	0	0	1	17	3	43	1	29	0	6		0		0
78		18	20		-	6			0	0	0	0	8	4	37	2	37	0	11		1		0
77		18	21		-	5				0	0	0	3	3	27	3	42	0	19		2		0
76		17	21		-	6				0	0	0	1	2	16	5	42	1	28	0	5		0	0
75		17	22		-	5							0	1	8	5	36	3	36	0	10		1	0
74		16	22		-	6							0	0	3	4	26	5	42	1	17	0	2	0
73		16	23		-	5							0	0	1	2	15	8	41	3	25	0	4	0
72		15	23		-	6								0	0	1	7	7	35	6	34	0	8	0
71		15	24		-	5								0	0	1	2	6	25	9	38	2	15	2
70		14	24		-	6										0	1	4	14	11	40	5	23	3
69		14	25		-	5										0	0	1	6	12	34	9	31	6	0
68		14	26		-	4										0	0	1	2	9	26	11	38	12	0
67		13	26		-	5												0	1	5	14	14	42	22	2	0
66		13	27		-	4												0	0	3	8	15	37	31	5	0
65		12	27		-	5														1	4	11	37	37	9	1
64		12	28		-	4															1	9	22	42	21	5
63		11	28		-	5														1	1	3	17	50	23	6
62		10	28		-	6																2	11	37	29	21
61		10	29		-	5																	7	27	47	18
60		10	30		-	4																		26	35	39
59		8	29		-	7																		6	56	39
58		9	31		-	4																		20	20	60
36	-57																									100

Total:							13	3	4	0	25	1	26	1	13	0	7	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0