Erie Otters Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

41 points 20 4-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Oshawa 3 Barrie 5	+1.9
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0	-0.8		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Hamilton Spectator Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Sault Ste. Marie vs Sudbury	-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.5+0.4+1.0

Chances based on how well the Erie finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Hamilton		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Spectator Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

117	-127						In		100.0	%	100										6,679	*
116		36	4		-	3	In		99.9		100	0	0								6,080	*
115		36	5		-	2	In		99.9		100	0	0								10,853	*
114		35	5		-	3	In		99.9		100	0	0								17,724	*
113		35	6		-	2	In		99.7		100	0	0								28,806	*
112		34	6		-	3	In		99.4		99	0	1								44,137	*
111		34	7		-	2	In		98.7		99	0	1	0							64,774	*
110		33	7		-	3	In		97.6		98	0	2	0							89,922	*
109		33	8		-	2	In		95.9		96	0	3	0							120,417	*
108		32	8		-	3	In		93.2		94	1	5	0							155,623	*
107		31	8		-	4	In		89.3		91	1	9	0							193,585	*
106		31	9		-	3	In		84.1		86	1	13	0							231,674	*
105		30	9		-	4	In		77.1		80	2	18	0							267,185	*
104		30	10		-	3	In		68.5		72	3	24	1							298,467	*
103		29	10		-	4	In		58.5		63	4	31	2							322,208	*
102		29	11		-	3	In		48.9		55	5	38	3							147,007
		28	10		-	5	In		47.4		53	5	39	3	0						188,427	*
101		28	11		-	4	In		36.5		43	6	46	5							139,436
		29	12		-	2	In		37.2		44	6	45	5							201,192	*
100		28	12		-	3	In		26.6		34	7	51	8							179,482	*
		27	11		-	5	In		26.9		34	7	51	8	0						155,327	*
99		27	12		-	4	In		18.0		25	7	56	13	0						319,425	*
98		27	13		-	3	In		11.0		17	7	58	18	0						294,314	*
97		26	13		-	4	In		6.4		11	6	58	25	0						265,174	*
96		26	14		-	3	In		3.2		6	5	55	33	0	0					231,570	*
95		25	14		-	4	In		1.5		4	4	50	41	0						194,732	*
94		25	15		-	3	In		0.6		2	3	44	50	1	0					161,527	*
93		24	15		-	4	In		0.2		1	2	37	58	2	0					129,540	*
92		24	16		-	3	In		0.0		0	1	29	64	5	0					100,996	*
91		23	16		-	4	In		0.0		0	1	22	68	9	0					76,670	*
90		23	17		-	3	In		No		0	0	16	69	14	1					57,026	*
89		22	17		-	4	In		No		0	0	11	67	21	1					40,689	*
88		22	18		-	3	In		No			0	7	61	30	2					28,556	*
87		21	18		-	4	In		No			0	4	53	38	5	0				19,403	*
86		21	19		-	3	In		No			0	2	44	45	9	0				12,898	*
85		20	19		-	4	In		No			0	1	35	51	12	0				8,544	*
84		20	20		-	3	In		No				0	28	53	19	0				5,338	*
83		19	20		-	4	In		No				0	18	54	26	0				3,355	*
82		19	21		-	3	In		No				0	12	51	37	1				2,016	*
81		18	21		-	4	In		No					7	50	41	2				1,170	*
80		18	22		-	3	In		No					5	38	54	3				652	*
79		17	22		-	4	In		No					3	36	58	4				356	*
78		17	23		-	3	In		No						23	67	9				190	*
77		16	23		-	4	In		No					1	25	64	10				109	*
76		16	24		-	3	In		No						13	70	17				47	*
75		15	24		-	4	In		No						12	71	18				34	*
74		15	25		-	3	In		No						13	56	31				16	*
72	-73						In		No							100					5	*
69	-71						In		No								100				4	*
41		0	43		-	0	Out		No											100	599

Total:							100.0	%	41.2	%	45	4	34	16	1	0	0			0	4,823,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

118	-127						100
117		37	4		-	2	100	0
116		36	4		-	3	100	0	0		0
115		36	5		-	2	100	0	0		0
114		35	5		-	3	100	0	0		0
113		35	6		-	2	100	0	0		0
112		34	6		-	3	99	0	0		1
111		34	7		-	2	99	0	0		1		0
110		33	7		-	3	98	0	0		2		0
109		33	8		-	2	96	0	0		3		0
108		32	8		-	3	93	1	1		5		0
107		31	8		-	4	89	1	1		9		0
106		31	9		-	3	84	2	1		13		0
105		30	9		-	4	77	3	2		18		0
104		30	10		-	3	69	4	3		24		1
103		29	10		-	4	59	5	4	0	31		2
102		29	11		-	3	49	6	5	0	38		3
		28	10		-	5	47	6	5	0	39		3		0
101		28	11		-	4	37	7	6	0	45		5
100		28	12		-	3	27	7	7	0	51	0	8
		27	11		-	5	26	7	7	0	52	0	8		0
99		27	12		-	4	18	7	7	0	56	0	13		0
98		27	13		-	3	11	6	7	0	58	0	18		0
97		26	13		-	4	6	5	6	0	58	0	25		0
96		26	14		-	3	3	3	5	0	55	0	33		0		0
95		25	14		-	4	1	2	4	0	50	0	41		0
94		25	15		-	3	1	1	3	0	44	0	50		1		0
93		24	15		-	4	0	1	2	0	37	0	58		2		0
92		24	16		-	3	0	0	1	0	29	0	64		5		0
91		23	16		-	4	0	0	1	0	21	1	68		9		0
90		23	17		-	3		0	0	0	15	1	69		14		1
89		22	17		-	4		0	0	0	10	1	67	0	21		1
88		22	18		-	3			0	0	6	1	61	0	30		2
87		21	18		-	4			0	0	3	1	53	0	38		5		0
86		21	19		-	3				0	2	0	44	0	45		9		0
85		20	19		-	4			0	0	1	0	35	0	51		12		0
84		20	20		-	3					0	0	27	0	53		19		0
83		19	20		-	4					0	0	18	0	54		26		0
82		19	21		-	3						0	12	0	51		37		1
81		18	21		-	4							7	1	50	0	41		2
80		18	22		-	3							4	0	38		54		3
79		17	22		-	4							2	1	35	1	58		4
78		17	23		-	3									22	2	67		9
77		16	23		-	4								1	24	1	64		10
76		16	24		-	3									13		68	2	17
75		15	24		-	4									9	3	71		18
74		15	25		-	3									13		56		31
72	-73																100
69	-71																		100
41		0	43		-	0																			0	100

Total:							41	4	4	0	34	0	16	0	1	0	0	0	0						0	0