"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHamilton Spectator TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPI
Barrie312148-32498.7%+0.61.5%+0.41536121310742103.2+0.299Barrie Colts
Sudbury262109-6-1993.3+0.20.2-0.041411151514128525.0-0.0216Sudbury Wolves
Mississauga281312-2-1993.1-1.50.2-0.131311151514129525.0-0.4015Mississauga Steelheads
North Bay2521212-1-890.9+0.30.1-0.0311101415151311635.3-0.0211North Bay Battalion
Niagara161616-4-3336.7-7.40.0-0.001123591629358.5-0.2920Niagara IceDogs

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Ottawa 5 Niagara 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Barrie+0.1
Sudbury+0.2
Mississauga+0.2
North Bay+0.3
Niagara-7.4
No
-0.3
Kingston 7 Mississauga 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Mississauga-1.8
-0.1
-0.4
North Bay+0.0
Niagara+0.2
Oshawa 3 Barrie 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Barrie+0.6
+0.5
+0.3
Sudbury-0.0
Guelph 6 Kitchener 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Barrie-0.1
Wednesday
Belleville vs MississaugaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Barrie98.798.6*98.7*98.7*98.798.8
Sudbury93.193.193.1*93.2*93.393.7
Mississauga90.692.592.794.894.995.1
0.1*0.10.10.20.20.2
5.45.15.14.84.84.7
North Bay90.590.5*90.7*91.0*90.891.3
Niagara36.335.735.8*36.5*36.637.3
Sault Ste. Marie vs SudburyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hamilton Spectator Trophy100.0*Average seed
Barrie98.8*98.7*98.8*98.7*98.798.7
1.5*1.5*1.5*1.5*1.61.6
3.23.23.23.33.33.3
Sudbury91.3*93.293.194.795.195.0
0.10.10.10.30.30.3
5.35.05.04.74.74.7
Mississauga93.2*93.1*93.292.8*92.993.0
5.0*5.0*5.05.15.15.1
North Bay91.0*91.0*91.0*90.9*90.790.8
5.3*5.3*5.35.45.45.4
Niagara37.2*36.8*36.3*36.4*36.436.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.