OMCHL Novice Division Title Chances 2010-2011MCHLWinter 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI

Fargo Wood Chip	32		14	-	1	-	4	41	83.5	%	+7.6	84	15	2	0							1.2	+0.08	1	Fargo Wood Chippers
Mad Hatters	28		13	-	4	-	2	24	13.4		-8.0	13	43	35	7	1						2.4	-0.23	3	Mad Hatters
Tip Your Waitre	27		12	-	4	-	3	13	3.0		+0.4	3	38	41	15	3						2.8	+0.08	2	Tip Your Waitress
Ginger Ales	24		10	-	5	-	4	16	0.0		+0.0	0	4	19	64	12						3.8	+0.40	4	Ginger Ales
Posse	21		8	-	6	-	5	3	No		-0.0		0	3	13	83	1	0	0			4.8	-0.34	5	Posse
TOOFLESSGOONS	14		6	-	11	-	2	-27	No							1	33	30	23	13	0	7.1	-0.16	7	TOOFLESSGOONS
Green Meanies	14		5	-	10	-	4	-13	No							0	34	27	23	16	0	7.2	+0.23	6	Green Meanies
Clam Clan	13		4	-	10	-	5	-15	No							0	22	26	27	25	0	7.6	-0.19	8	The Clam Clan
Moose Knuckles	12		3	-	10	-	6	-7	No							0	10	17	27	46	1	8.1	+0.22	9	Moose Knuckles
Gordie's Reveng	5		2	-	16	-	1	-35	No									0	0	1	99	10.0	-0.09	10	Gordie's Revenge

Week of 3/26
Mad Hatters 1 Green Meanies 2
6:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Fargo Wood Chip	+7.6		+0.1
Mad Hatters	-8.0		-0.2
Tip Your Waitre	+0.4		+0.1
TOOFLESSGOONS			-0.1
Green Meanies			+0.3
Clam Clan			-0.1
Moose Knuckles			-0.1

Posse 1 Ginger Ales 4
11:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Ginger Ales			+0.4
Posse	No		-0.3

Gordie's Reveng 0 Moose Knuckles 4
7:15 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
TOOFLESSGOONS			-0.1
Green Meanies			-0.1
Clam Clan			-0.1
Moose Knuckles			+0.3
Gordie's Reveng			-0.1

Week of 4/1
Posse vs Fargo Wood ChipIf winner is:HomeTieAway
9:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Fargo Wood Chip	75.485.691.2		1.31.21.1
Mad Hatters	19.312.17.8		2.32.42.4
Tip Your Waitre	5.22.31.0
Ginger Ales	0.10.0No		3.93.83.8
Posse			4.74.95.0

Mad Hatters vs Ginger AlesHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Fargo Wood Chip	77.185.389.6		1.31.21.1
Mad Hatters	20.111.57.0		2.12.42.7
Tip Your Waitre	2.83.23.2
Ginger Ales	No0.00.1		4.13.93.6
Posse			4.84.84.9

Clam Clan vs Tip Your WaitreHomeTieAway
6:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Fargo Wood Chip	84.984.282.1
Mad Hatters	14.2*13.412.5		2.32.42.5
Tip Your Waitre	0.92.45.4		3.02.72.5
Ginger Ales			3.83.93.9
TOOFLESSGOONS			7.37.17.0
Green Meanies			7.37.27.1
Clam Clan			7.27.57.9
Moose Knuckles			8.28.18.0

TOOFLESSGOONS vs Moose KnucklesHomeTieAway
10:45 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
TOOFLESSGOONS			6.77.17.6
Moose Knuckles			8.58.17.7

Gordie's Reveng vs Green MeaniesHomeTieAway
5:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
TOOFLESSGOONS			7.07.17.2
Green Meanies			7.57.26.9
Clam Clan			7.57.57.7
Moose Knuckles			8.08.18.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

OMCHL Novice Division Title Chances 2010-2011MCHLWinter 50/50

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