Western United F.C. Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Beat Gaïtcha 18-4, playoff odds up 26.6 to 70.1%
3 points 1-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Pirae 4 Auckland City 11 | -0.5 | -0.5 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Auckland City vs Western United | -27.2-0.5+27.4 | -27.2-0.5+27.4 | -1.6+0.1+1.6 | |||
| Western United vs Amicale | +26.7-2.3-25.6 | +26.7-2.3-25.6 | +1.4+0.1-1.5 | |||
| Ba vs Gaïtcha | -3.2+0.3+3.1 | -3.2+0.3+3.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Tafea vs Team Wellington | -1.0+2.3*-0.0 | -1.0+2.3*-0.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Hekari United vs Team Wellington | -1.0+2.2*+0.0 | -1.0+2.2*+0.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Tefana vs Hekari United | -0.9+1.7+0.1 | -0.9+1.7+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Tefana vs Tafea | -0.8+1.7*+0.0 | -0.8+1.7*+0.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Tafea vs Hekari United | -0.4+1.9-0.4 | -0.4+1.9-0.4 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 4/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ba vs Pirae | +2.1+3.9-3.9 | +2.1+3.9-3.9 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||
| Amicale vs Auckland City | -0.9+0.9+0.5 | -0.9+0.9+0.5 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Western United finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 88 | 12 | 1,005,702 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 55 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 933,226 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 92.9 | % | 92.9 | % | 8 | 28 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 2,007,667 | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 84.9 | 84.9 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 216,577 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 29.9 | 29.9 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 934,225 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1,002,939 | ||||||||
| Total: | 70.1 | % | 70.1 | % | 25 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6,100,336 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:42 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
