A.S. Tefana Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 23.8 to 67.7%
3 points 1-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Pirae 4 Auckland City 11 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tefana vs Hekari United | +28.0-2.4-26.9 | +28.0-2.4-26.9 | +1.5+0.2-1.6 | |||
| Tefana vs Tafea | +28.0-2.5-26.9 | +28.0-2.5-26.9 | +1.5+0.2-1.6 | |||
| Ba vs Gaïtcha | -3.2+0.5+3.0 | -3.2+0.5+3.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Hekari United vs Team Wellington | -1.0+2.0*+0.1 | -1.0+2.0*+0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Tafea vs Team Wellington | -1.0+2.0*+0.0 | -1.0+2.0*+0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Western United vs Amicale | -1.0+1.7+0.2 | -1.0+1.7+0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Tafea vs Hekari United | -0.4+1.7-0.4 | -0.4+1.7-0.4 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Auckland City vs Western United | -0.6+1.6-0.2 | -0.6+1.6-0.2 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 4/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ba vs Pirae | +2.2+3.9-4.0 | +2.2+3.9-4.0 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||
| Amicale vs Auckland City | +0.3+1.9-1.2 | +0.3+1.9-1.2 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Tefana finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | ||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 83 | 17 | 1,004,723 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 48 | 47 | 5 | 0 | 934,528 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 89.6 | % | 89.6 | % | 4 | 23 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 2,005,444 | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 81.2 | 81.2 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 42 | 19 | 0 | 217,663 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 23.2 | 23.2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 934,046 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 1,003,932 | ||||||||
| Total: | 67.7 | % | 67.7 | % | 22 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6,100,336 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
