"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirae 4 Auckland City 11 -0.4
-0.4
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tafea vs Team Wellington-6.4-3.1+16.1
-6.4-3.1+16.1
-1.4+0.7+2.4
Hekari United vs Team Wellington-6.4-3.1+16.1
-6.4-3.1+16.1
-1.4+0.7+2.4
Ba vs Gaïtcha-0.6+0.8+2.7
-0.6+0.8+2.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Western United vs Amicale-0.4+0.5+0.6
-0.4+0.5+0.6
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Tafea vs Hekari United-0.1+0.6-0.1
-0.1+0.6-0.1
Tefana vs Hekari United*-0.0+0.4-0.3
*-0.0+0.4-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tefana vs Tafea*+0.0+0.4-0.3
*+0.0+0.4-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Auckland City vs Western United-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ba vs Pirae+0.1+1.4-1.0
+0.1+1.4-1.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Amicale vs Auckland City+1.0+0.7-0.8
+1.0+0.7-0.8
-0.2-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Team Wellington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsPlayoffs123456789101112Count
62-0-077.9%77.9%11130362021,186,717
41-1-012.912.9011138408101,741,043
31-0-10.20.20031837321005,116,327
20-2-0OutNo022847221641,105
10-1-1OutNo03355663,766,078
00-0-2OutNo750425,528,130
Total:6.4%6.4%0124691318154151317,979,400
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs