How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OTS 3 MTK 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CID vs KBW+0.2-0.1-0.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
LTM vs STI-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the OWK finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inLeagueChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-TplayoffsChampions123456789101112Count
4419-0-0In92.7%93703,725
4117-1-1InYes1003
4016-1-2InNo33673
3915-1-3In26.32668519*
3815-2-2In12.51342432104*
3714-2-3In3.133148153291*
3614-3-2In1.8216482940935*
3513-3-3In0.206354414102,517*
3413-4-2In0.001184529606,614*
3312-4-3InNo063143182015,141*
3211-4-4100.0%No01144034101032,803*
3111-5-399.8No042441255066,233*
3010-5-497.8No01932391720124,816*
2910-6-390.7No002163933900222,503*
289-6-473.5No00525432330364,532*
279-7-348.3No001113740111557,032*
268-7-424.7No00322462630802,568*
258-8-310.8No0110414080493,628
7-7-58.8No0083843110589,435*
247-8-42.5No022450240896,753*
8-9-23.8No0042949180473,634
237-9-30.8No011449350745,351
6-8-50.4No001147420482,453
8-10-10.8No011448370396,662*
226-9-40.1No00539560767,174
7-10-20.2No00742500641,096
5-8-60.1No0435601398,300*
216-10-30.0No0228681878,103
5-9-50.0No0124741539,319
7-11-10.0No0228691463,216*
205-10-40.0No0015813768,983
6-11-20.0No01178031,062,394*
195-11-3OutNo09865795,539
4-10-5OutNo07876447,861
6-12-1OutNo09856419,038*
184-11-4OutNo038710577,434
5-12-2OutNo048610830,515*
174-12-3OutNo028316545,254
3-11-5OutNo018217559,011*
164-13-2OutNo007525801,247*
153-13-3OutNo006535535,861*
143-14-2OutNo05446329,093*
132-14-3OutNo04258182,426*
122-15-2OutNo307092,173*
111-15-3OutNo208041,004*
101-16-2OutNo128815,940*
91-17-1OutNo6945,214*
80-17-2OutNo3971,402*
70-18-1OutNo199279
60-19-0OutNo01003,769
Total:7.5%0.0%00000124102253717,979,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
CID vs KBW-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-T123456789101112
4419-0-09370
4117-1-1100
4016-1-23367
3915-1-326685
3815-2-21342432
3714-2-333148153
3614-3-2216482940
3513-3-30635441410
3413-4-20118452960
3312-4-30631431820
3211-4-4011440341010
3111-5-30424412550
3010-5-401932391720
2910-6-3002163933900
289-6-400525432330
279-7-3001113740111
268-7-400322462630
258-8-30110414080
7-7-50083843110
247-8-4022450240
8-9-20042949180
237-9-3011449350
6-8-5001147420
8-10-1011448370
226-9-400539560
7-10-200742500
5-8-60435601
216-10-30228681
5-9-50124741
7-11-10228691
205-10-40015813
6-11-20117803
195-11-309865
4-10-507876
6-12-109856
184-11-4038710
5-12-2048610
174-12-3028316
3-11-5018217
164-13-2007525
153-13-3006535
143-14-205446
132-14-304258
122-15-23070
111-15-32080
101-16-21288
91-17-1694
80-17-2397
70-18-1199
60-19-00100
Total:000001241022537