North Metro Football League 5th grade D2 Playoff Chances 2012

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Promote to D1			Chance will finish regular season at seed																Lower bracket
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Lambert	1	5	-	0	-	0	1.000	108	In		+0.0	94.4	%	+11.0	90	5	5	0	0										1.2	+0.39	No		-0.0	1	.893	Lambert Longhorns - 5th Grade
SS-Black		5	-	1	-	0	.833	41	In		+1.3	77.3		+33.4	8	69	20	1	0	1	0								2.2	+1.05	No		-1.3	3	.898	Sandy Springs Black - 5th Grade

Lassiter-Black		5	-	1	-	0	.833	59	In		+4.2	17.8		-6.5	2	16	49	25	7	0	0								3.2	+0.93	No		-4.2	2	.900	Lassiter Trojans Black - 5th Grade
SS-Gold		5	-	1	-	0	.833	38	In		+0.1	9.1		-18.1	1	8	20	44	22	4	0								3.9	-0.27	No		-0.1	7	.898	Sandy Springs Saints Gold - 5th Grade
Druid Hills		4	-	2	-	0	.667	13	100.0	%	+3.5	1.4		-2.1	0	1	5	28	28	35	2	0	0						5.0	+1.01	0.0	%	-3.5	9	.819	Druid Hills - 5th Grade
Centennial-Blue	1	2	-	3	-	0	.400	10	95.0		+12.8	No		-1.6				0	36	36	11	11	4	1	0	0	0		6.1	+0.37	5.0		-12.8	5	.795	Centennial Knights Blue - 5th Grade
Lassiter-Maroon		3	-	3	-	0	.500	10	97.6		-1.7	No		-12.0			0	1	6	12	73	6	2	1	0				6.9	-2.01	2.4		+1.7	8	.780	Lassiter Trojans Maroon - 5th Grade
Chattahoochee	2	2	-	2	-	0	.500	6	77.6		+22.9	No		-0.0					0	1	8	69	18	2	1	1	0		8.2	-0.10	22.4		-22.9	6	.774	Chattahoochee Cougars - 5th Grade


Creekview	1	2	-	3	-	0	.400	-3	25.3		-45.4	No		-4.1			0	0	0	9	6	10	52	9	6	7	0	0	8.9	-1.80	74.7		+45.4	4	.391	Creekview Grizzlies - 5th Grade
Mt Pisgah		2	-	4	-	0	.333	-51	3.5		+1.7	No								0	1	2	16	35	45	1	0		10.2	+0.21	96.5		-1.7	10	.101	Mount Pisgah Patriots - 5th Grade
JC-Gold		1	-	5	-	0	.167	-75	0.8		+0.4	No								0	0	0	7	44	11	6	30	2	11.1	-0.36	99.2		-0.4	13	.100	Johns Creek Gold - 5th Grade
JC-Red	1	1	-	4	-	0	.200	-37	0.0		-0.0	No									0	0	1	6	26	49	15	4	11.8	+0.33	100.0		+0.0	12	.108	Johns Creek Red - 5th Grade
Northview		1	-	5	-	0	.167	-72	0.2		+0.2	No								0	0	0	1	2	8	30	52	6	12.5	+0.12	99.8		-0.2	11	.100	Northview Blue - 5th Grade
Centennial-Black		1	-	5	-	0	.167	-47	0.0			No										0	0	0	3	6	3	88	13.8	+0.12	100.0			14	.100	Centennial Knights Black - 5th Grade

Week of 10/6
Centennial-Blue 6 Lassiter-Black 7
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			-2.9
SS-Black	+0.5		-2.5		-0.5
Lassiter-Black	+4.2		+14.0		-4.2		+1.0
SS-Gold			-2.1
Druid Hills	+0.4		-1.0		-0.4
Centennial-Blue	-13.9		No		+13.9		-1.1
Lassiter-Maroon	+0.2		-3.4		-0.2
Chattahoochee	+4.4				-4.4
Creekview	+3.9		-0.4		-3.9
Mt Pisgah	+0.3				-0.3
Centennial-Black	*Out				*Yes

SS-Black 7 Chattahoochee 6
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			-3.0
SS-Black	In		+10.4		No		+0.5
Lassiter-Black	+0.3		-3.7		-0.3
SS-Gold			-3.4
Druid Hills	+1.1		-0.7		-1.1
Centennial-Blue	+4.6		-0.4		-4.6
Lassiter-Maroon	+0.2		+0.7		-0.2
Chattahoochee	-12.0		No		+12.0		-0.5
Creekview	+4.0				-4.0
Mt Pisgah	+0.4				-0.4

Centennial-Black 13 Lassiter-Maroon 7
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			-0.3
SS-Black			+5.3				+0.2
Lassiter-Black			+2.6				+0.2
SS-Gold			+3.4				+0.3
Druid Hills	+0.2		+1.0		-0.2		+0.5
Centennial-Blue	+1.1		+0.3		-1.1		+0.3
Lassiter-Maroon	-9.1		-11.9		+9.1		-2.0
Chattahoochee	+0.5				-0.5
Creekview	+6.5		-0.2		-6.5		+0.4
Mt Pisgah	+0.2				-0.2
JC-Gold	+0.5				-0.5
Northview							-0.5
Centennial-Black							+0.5

Lambert 26 Creekview 12
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert	In		+14.3		No		+0.4
Lassiter-Black	+0.3		-5.3		-0.3
SS-Gold			-4.5
Druid Hills	+0.6		-0.8		-0.6
Centennial-Blue	+0.5		-0.2		-0.5
Lassiter-Maroon			+0.7				+0.1
Chattahoochee	+6.7				-6.7
Creekview	-8.5		-4.1		+8.5		-0.6
Mt Pisgah	+0.2				-0.2

JC-Red 12 Druid Hills 20
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			-0.2
SS-Black			-0.2
Lassiter-Black	-0.3		+0.3		+0.3
SS-Gold			-0.2
Druid Hills	+2.0		+0.5		-2.0		+0.2
Centennial-Blue	-0.8				+0.8
Lassiter-Maroon			-0.2
Chattahoochee	-0.2				+0.2
Creekview	-0.6				+0.6
JC-Red							-0.1
Centennial-Black	*Out				*Yes

Northview 12 JC-Gold 2
12:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Centennial-Blue	-0.2				+0.2
Lassiter-Maroon	+0.2				-0.2
Chattahoochee	+0.3				-0.3
JC-Gold	-0.4				+0.4		-0.3
Northview							+0.4

SS-Gold 32 Mt Pisgah 20
12:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			-0.3
SS-Black			-0.3
SS-Gold	+0.1		+0.8		-0.1		+0.1
Druid Hills			+0.2
Centennial-Blue			-0.2
Lassiter-Maroon			-0.2				-0.0
Chattahoochee	+0.2				-0.2
Creekview	+0.1				-0.1
Mt Pisgah	-0.4				+0.4		-0.0

Week of 10/13
Chattahoochee vs Lassiter-BlackIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
SS-Black			87.774.472.1				2.12.22.2
Lassiter-Black			2.516.026.1				3.63.33.0
Druid Hills	99.9InIn		3.73.60.0		0.1NoNo		4.84.85.1
Centennial-Blue	87.197.798.9				12.92.31.1		6.36.16.1
Chattahoochee	98.081.166.6				2.018.933.4		7.88.28.4
Creekview	17.820.629.6				82.279.470.4		9.09.08.9

JC-Red vs CreekviewHomeTieAway
3:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Chattahoochee	91.080.274.1				9.019.825.9		8.08.28.3
Creekview	3.417.131.3				96.682.968.7		10.89.18.4
JC-Red	0.10.0Out				99.9100.0Yes		10.811.812.1

Northview vs Centennial-BlueHomeTieAway
2:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Centennial-Blue	83.293.495.5				16.86.64.5		7.36.76.1
Chattahoochee	82.578.777.4				17.521.322.6		7.98.28.2
JC-Gold							11.711.111.1
JC-Red							12.612.511.8
Northview	2.5*0.20.1				97.5*99.899.9		10.611.812.6

JC-Gold vs Mt PisgahHomeTieAway
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Mt Pisgah	0.63.28.1				99.496.891.9		10.89.79.5
JC-Gold	1.4OutOut				98.6YesYes		10.011.412.9
Northview							12.812.811.9

SS-Black vs Lassiter-MaroonHomeTieAway
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			92.897.799.6				1.21.11.1
SS-Black			93.742.226.7				2.02.62.9
Lassiter-Black			8.839.545.2				3.32.93.0
SS-Gold			4.419.923.3				3.93.73.8
Druid Hills			0.40.65.2				5.05.04.9
Lassiter-Maroon	96.999.8100.0				3.10.20.0		7.16.76.1

Druid Hills vs SS-GoldHomeTieAway
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
SS-Black			82.1*77.173.7
SS-Gold			0.59.515.5				4.63.53.4
Druid Hills	InIn99.9		3.4NoNo		NoNo0.1		4.04.95.7
Centennial-Blue							6.56.45.8

Lambert vs Centennial-BlackHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert			97.258.424.7				1.12.32.9
SS-Black			77.277.682.3				2.21.61.5
Lassiter-Black			16.141.361.2				3.22.92.6
SS-Gold			8.221.226.6				3.93.73.6
JC-Red							11.812.812.8
Centennial-Black	Out*0.00.0				Yes*100.0100.0		13.912.111.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

North Metro Football League 5th grade D2 Playoff Chances 2012

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