SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Kings Ridge Tigers - 3rd Grade Playoff Chances 2012

Beat Dawson-Red 22-0, playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.999%

4-2-0 .667

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/6	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Kings Ridge 22 Dawson-Red 0	+0.1		+0.3		-0.1		+0.1
Dawson-Black 34 JC-Gold 0			-0.5				-0.0
Lambert 24 Druid Hills 0			+1.0				-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Forsyth vs Mt Pisgah	In*In-0.1		-0.9+1.1+47.3		No*No+0.1		-0.0+0.0+0.9
Northview vs JC-Gold	In*In-0.0				No*No+0.0
JC-Red vs Dawson-Black			+8.9+8.3-0.6				+0.4+0.3-0.0
Lambert vs Dawson-Red			-0.3+4.5+4.4				-0.0+0.4+0.5
Druid Hills vs Centennial			+0.1-1.1-0.6				-0.0+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings Ridge finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Promote		Chance will finish regular season at seed											Lower
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		to D1		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	bracket		Count

6		2	-	0	-	0	In		5.8	%	0	5	30	65								No		2,895,916
5	.5	1	-	0	-	1	In		0.0			0	2	50	47							No		385,829
5		1	-	1	-	0	In		0.0			0	0	39	60							No		1,539,894
		0	-	0	-	2	In		No				0	39	61							No		12,369
4	.5	0	-	1	-	1	In		No				0	5	95	0						No		83,575
4		0	-	2	-	0	99.8	%	No					1	81	17	0					0.2	%	28,543

Total:							100.0	%	3.4	%	0	3	18	54	25	0	0					0.0	%	4,946,126

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs