SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Druid Hills - 3rd Grade Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Lambert 0-24, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.96%

3-2-0 .600

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/6	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Lambert 24 Druid Hills 0			-18.1				-0.6
Kings Ridge 22 Dawson-Red 0			-0.4				-0.0
Dawson-Black 34 JC-Gold 0			+0.2				-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promote to D1	100.0*	Lower bracket	100.0*	Average seed
Druid Hills vs Centennial	+0.0+0.0-2.6		+0.2-3.5No		-0.0-0.0+2.6		+0.0-0.2-0.6
Lambert vs Dawson-Red			-1.3+19.5+19.7				-0.0+0.7+0.7
Forsyth vs Mt Pisgah			-0.0*+0.0+1.7				-0.0+0.0+0.3
JC-Red vs Dawson-Black			-0.8-0.9+0.1				+0.4+0.4-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Druid Hills finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Promote		Chance will finish regular season at seed											Lower
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		to D1		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	bracket		Count

6		3	-	0	-	0	In		7.0	%	0	7	11	39	43							No		2,521,854
5	.5	2	-	0	-	1	In		0.1		0	0	4	36	60							No		485,201
5		2	-	1	-	0	In		No				0	3	97	0						No		1,652,817
		1	-	0	-	2	In		No				0	3	97							No		29,928
4	.5	1	-	1	-	1	In		No				0	1	99	0						No		180,585
		0	-	0	-	3	In		No					1	99	0						No		678
4		1	-	2	-	0	99.7	%	No					0	54	46	0					0.3	%	65,117
		0	-	1	-	2	99.9		No						80	20	0					0.1		4,789
3	.5	0	-	2	-	1	96.7		No						44	53	3	0				3.3		3,438
3		0	-	3	-	0	0.1		No							0	32	55	13			99.9		1,719

Total:							100.0	%	3.6	%	0	4	6	24	65	1	0	0	0			0.0	%	4,946,126

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs