How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 -1.0
+8.0
-0.2
Philadelphia 2 Ottawa 3 (ot)*-0.2
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 -0.2
-1.2
+0.1
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3 +0.1
+0.1
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 *-0.1
+0.7
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 -1.2
Pittsburgh 1 Phoenix 4 *-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Phoenix vs Winnipeg-0.5-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.4+0.5
+9.8+2.0+1.3-7.0-7.4-8.8
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2
Ottawa vs Halifax-0.1-0.1-0.2*+0.1*+0.0+0.1
-1.2*+0.1*+0.3+0.8+1.0+1.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*+0.1*-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Edmonton*-0.1+0.7+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Florida+0.7+1.0+1.4*+0.2*+0.2-1.0
New York vs Anaheim+0.4+1.2+1.0*+0.4+0.7-0.7
Philadelphia vs Denver-0.4*-0.0*+0.3*+0.1+0.5+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedLottery
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678EligibilityCount
53220-0In74.1%919No398
52210-1In66.7100No3
51211-0In38.16733No21*
50201-179.5%23.15423321No39*
49202-080.116.142326120No161*
48192-168.85.92334111310No337*
47193-063.41.91530162361No1,058*
46183-153.50.5623214452No2,092*
45184-044.10.1314207533No4,740*
44174-133.90.0171796060No8,275*
43164-225.0No0312106590No16,180*
42165-116.7No0179681510No25,163*
41155-210.9No0038662210No43,022*
40156-16.1No015593230No59,370*
39146-23.6No0034841700.0%88,810*
38147-11.8No0236481310.0111,535*
37137-20.8No0124512320.478,608
148-01.1No0126512110.370,526*
36138-10.7No0116503032.0111,785
127-30.6No0111463752.656,988*
35128-20.6No017404388.8108,678
139-00.6No019424278.194,663*
34129-10.5No01433491321.8137,083
118-30.5No0227531824.973,273*
33119-20.5No00120542444.9123,619
1210-00.6No1222532243.3106,945*
321110-10.5No01114533266.0139,512
109-30.5No01010513968.976,434*
311010-20.5No0106464784.3115,540
1111-00.5No008474483.299,635*
301011-10.5No004405593.3118,502
910-30.5No102356294.265,313*
29911-20.5No001297098.089,533
1012-00.5No102316797.876,957*
28912-10.5No001227799.5130,047*
27812-20.5No10148599.956,510
913-00.5No10168399.949,181*
26813-10.5No001089100.075,158*
25713-20.5No00693100.056,066*
24714-10.5No00496Yes35,632*
23614-20.5No10297Yes24,255*
22615-10.5No0198Yes13,666*
21515-20.5No1199Yes8,463*
20516-10.6No1099Yes4,282*
19416-20.2No00100Yes2,416*
18417-10.6No199Yes1,034*
17317-20.7No1099Yes544*
16318-11.2No199Yes168*
12-15OutNo100Yes118*
9022-00.3No0100Yes398
Total:1.6%0.0%00011121323550.3%2,562,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 +0.6
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 -0.1
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
Pittsburgh 1 Phoenix 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Phoenix vs Winnipeg+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Ottawa vs Halifax-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Florida+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
New York vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last four teams qualify for first overall pick

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516
53220-074242
52210-16733
51211-0385210
50201-123462353
49202-0163732122
48192-1627362380
47193-021533321430
46183-11521372691
45184-0021029361940
44174-10031735321110
43164-201625382450
42165-1021233371420
41155-2004204028710
40156-10018303819400
39146-200216373211200
38147-1006243825710
37137-20110303618400
148-000213323416300
36138-100418353011200
127-300315343213200
35128-2016233625810
139-00172436247100
34129-100212303418400
118-300110283620500
33119-20041734311220
1210-00041834301220
321110-1001825372350
109-301624372560
311010-2002133436141
1111-0003143435131
301011-10162441253
910-30052341273
29911-20021338398
1012-00021438388
28912-1016294915
27812-2003205225
26813-101115137
25713-20064450
24714-1033662
23614-2012771
22615-102079
21515-201486
20516-10991
19416-2694
18417-1397
17317-2199
16318-1199
15319-0100
14219-1397
9-13100
Total:000011357911131415147