SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Vancouver Vipers Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Lost to Anaheim 1-3, playoff odds down 7.6 to 8.4%

13 points 5 6-3

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery Eligibility	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3	-2.6		-0.2		+5.6		-0.2
Philadelphia 2 Ottawa 3 (ot)	-0.7
Halifax 2 Ontario 6	-0.6				-0.7
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5	-0.2		+0.0		+0.4
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4	*-0.2				-0.6
New York 0 Los Angeles 2			*-0.0		-0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery Eligibility	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver vs Edmonton	+1.8+1.7+1.5-0.9-0.7-2.0		+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1		-5.4-4.8-4.9+0.0+0.2+6.2		+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Ottawa vs Halifax	-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.0+0.1+0.5				-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.8+0.8+0.7
Calgary vs Ontario	+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.3-0.3
Toronto vs Los Angeles	-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.0+0.1+0.2
Philadelphia vs Denver					-0.4-0.1+0.1+0.5*+0.2+0.3
New York vs Anaheim					+0.4+0.7+0.7*+0.3+0.3-0.6
Pittsburgh vs Florida					+0.4+0.6+0.6*+0.3+0.3-0.5
Phoenix vs Winnipeg					-0.1+0.7+0.7*+0.4+0.6-0.1		+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed								Lottery
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Eligibility		Count

57		22	0		-	0	In		99.5	%	99	1							No		398
56		21	0		-	1	In		Yes		100								No		2
55		21	1		-	0	In		80.0		93	7							No		15	*
54		20	1		-	1	97.8	%	73.9		83	15			2				No		46	*
53		20	2		-	0	95.4		75.2		84	11	1		5				No		153	*
52		19	2		-	1	92.3		59.1		72	19	1		8				No		362	*
51		19	3		-	0	89.0		44.6		61	26	2		11				No		1,015	*
50		18	3		-	1	81.4		25.8		42	34	5	0	18	0			No		2,007	*
49		18	4		-	0	76.7		14.2		29	37	10	1	23	0			No		4,805	*
48		17	4		-	1	67.5		5.7		17	34	15	2	32	1			No		8,244	*
47		16	4		-	2	60.2		1.7		9	29	19	3	39	1			No		16,565	*
46		16	5		-	1	50.4		0.4		4	20	21	6	48	2	0		No		25,158	*
45		15	5		-	2	41.3		0.1		1	11	20	9	55	3	0		No		42,757	*
44		15	6		-	1	31.7		0.0		0	5	15	11	62	6	0		No		59,637	*
43		14	6		-	2	24.3		0.0		0	2	10	12	66	10	0		No		89,225	*
42		14	7		-	1	17.1		No		0	1	6	11	67	16	0		No		111,117	*
41		13	7		-	2	12.0		No		0	0	3	9	65	22	1	0	No		148,793	*
40		13	8		-	1	8.5		No			0	1	7	60	30	2	0	No		111,801
		12	7		-	3	7.3		No			0	1	6	55	35	2	0	No		57,160	*
39		12	8		-	2	5.6		No			0	1	5	48	42	4	0	No		109,321
		13	9		-	0	6.2		No			0	1	6	52	39	4	0	No		95,275	*
38		12	9		-	1	4.5		No			0	0	4	40	48	8	0	0.0	%	137,581
		11	8		-	3	4.3		No			0	0	4	34	52	10	0	0.0		72,838	*
37		11	9		-	2	3.6		No				0	4	25	54	16	1	0.2		122,929
		12	10		-	0	4.0		No				0	4	29	53	13	1	0.2		106,660	*
36		11	10		-	1	3.6		No			0	0	3	18	54	22	2	1.3		139,769
		10	9		-	3	3.3		No			0	0	3	14	53	27	3	1.6		76,872	*
35		10	10		-	2	3.5		No				0	3	9	47	35	6	6.1		115,660
		11	11		-	0	3.5		No				0	3	11	49	32	5	5.9		99,485	*
34		10	11		-	1	3.4		No				0	3	5	41	41	10	17.1		118,922
		9	10		-	3	3.4		No				0	3	3	37	44	12	18.9		64,798	*
33		9	11		-	2	3.4		No				0	3	2	27	49	19	37.3		89,010
		10	12		-	0	3.3		No				0	3	2	31	47	17	36.4		77,488	*
32		9	12		-	1	3.4		No				0	3	1	19	48	28	60.5		128,670	*
31		8	12		-	2	3.3		No				0	3	0	12	46	39	79.7		106,059	*
30		8	13		-	1	3.4		No					3	0	6	39	52	92.1		74,958	*
29		7	13		-	2	3.3		No					3	0	3	31	63	97.3		56,359	*
28		7	14		-	1	3.4		No					3	0	1	22	73	99.3		35,540	*
27		6	14		-	2	3.4		No					3		1	16	80	99.9		24,065	*
26		6	15		-	1	3.0		No					3		0	10	87	100.0		13,898	*
25		5	15		-	2	3.3		No					3		0	6	91	Yes		8,590	*
24		5	16		-	1	3.3		No					3		0	4	93	Yes		4,149	*
23		4	16		-	2	3.7		No					4			2	95	Yes		2,343	*
22		4	17		-	1	3.5		No					3			1	96	Yes		1,029	*
21		4	18		-	0	3.1		No					3			0	97	Yes		508	*
20		3	18		-	1	3.1		No					3			1	96	Yes		191	*
19		3	19		-	0	2.6		No					3				97	Yes		77	*
18		2	19		-	1	4.8		No					5				95	Yes		21	*
15	-17						Out		No									100	Yes		13	*
13		0	22		-	0	0.3		No					0				100	Yes		398

Total:							8.4	%	0.1	%	0	1	2	5	28	32	20	11	19.0	%	2,562,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3	+0.7
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5	+0.0
Denver 0 Florida 1	+0.0
New York 0 Los Angeles 2	-0.0
Pittsburgh 1 Phoenix 4	-0.0
Halifax 2 Ontario 6	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Edmonton	-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
New York vs Anaheim	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Florida	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

Last four teams qualify for first overall pick

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

57		22	0		-	0	99	1
56		21	0		-	1	100
55		21	1		-	0	80	20
54		20	1		-	1	74	26
53		20	2		-	0	75	22	3
52		19	2		-	1	59	37	4	0
51		19	3		-	0	45	42	12	1	0
50		18	3		-	1	26	46	24	4	0
49		18	4		-	0	14	37	35	12	2	0
48		17	4		-	1	6	25	39	23	7	1	0
47		16	4		-	2	2	13	33	34	15	3	0	0
46		16	5		-	1	0	5	22	35	27	9	1	0
45		15	5		-	2	0	1	10	28	36	20	5	0	0
44		15	6		-	1	0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	0
43		14	6		-	2	0	0	1	6	23	38	25	6	1	0
42		14	7		-	1			0	2	11	31	37	16	3	0	0
41		13	7		-	2			0	0	3	19	39	29	9	1	0
		14	8		-	0			0	0	4	19	39	29	8	1	0
40		13	8		-	1				0	1	8	30	38	19	4	0	0
		12	7		-	3				0	1	7	28	39	21	4	0	0
39		12	8		-	2				0	0	2	16	37	33	11	1	0
		13	9		-	0				0	0	2	16	37	32	11	1	0
38		12	9		-	1				0	0	0	7	26	39	23	5	0	0
		11	8		-	3					0	0	6	24	39	25	6	1	0
37		11	9		-	2					0	0	2	12	33	35	15	3	0	0
		12	10		-	0						0	2	13	34	35	15	3	0	0
36		11	10		-	1						0	0	4	20	37	28	9	1	0
		10	9		-	3						0	0	4	19	37	29	10	1	0	0
35		10	10		-	2							0	1	8	28	36	21	5	1	0
		11	11		-	0							0	1	9	28	36	20	5	1	0
34		10	11		-	1							0	0	3	15	33	32	14	3	0	0
		9	10		-	3							0	0	2	14	32	33	15	3	0	0
33		9	11		-	2								0	1	5	21	36	27	9	1	0
		10	12		-	0								0	1	6	22	35	26	9	1	0
32		9	12		-	1								0	0	2	10	28	35	20	4	0
		8	11		-	3									0	1	9	27	36	21	5	0
31		8	12		-	2									0	0	3	17	35	32	12	1
30		8	13		-	1										0	1	7	25	39	24	4
29		7	13		-	2										0	0	2	14	37	37	10
28		7	14		-	1											0	1	6	28	46	19
27		6	14		-	2											0	0	3	18	48	32
26		6	15		-	1												0	1	9	44	46
25		5	15		-	2													0	4	35	60
24		5	16		-	1														2	27	71
23		4	16		-	2														1	17	82
22		4	17		-	1														0	11	89
21		4	18		-	0														0	5	95
20		3	18		-	1															5	95
19		3	19		-	0															4	96
13	-18																					100

Total:							0	0	1	2	3	6	9	12	13	13	12	10	8	6	4	2