How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 1 Phoenix 4 -4.5
+8.8
-0.3
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3 -1.2
*-0.1
-0.0
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 +1.0
-1.1
Denver 0 Florida 1 -0.7
*-0.2
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 -1.1
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 -1.0
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 +0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Florida+4.1+3.3+3.0-2.0-2.0-4.4
-7.4-7.0-6.9+0.6+1.0+8.5
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
New York vs Anaheim+0.8*-0.2*-0.1-0.9-1.0-0.6
+0.4+1.2+0.9+0.9+0.6-0.7
Phoenix vs Winnipeg-0.6-0.4*-0.2*+0.3*+0.1+0.6
*-0.1+0.9+0.7+1.0+0.8-0.2
-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Ottawa vs Halifax-1.2*-0.3*+0.2+0.8+1.2+1.0
Philadelphia vs Denver-0.5*-0.1*-0.4+0.7*+0.2+0.4
Vancouver vs Edmonton*+0.0+0.6+0.7+0.7+0.5-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedLottery
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678EligibilityCount
54220-0In80.2%8812No398
53210-1InNo100No1
52211-0In71.48614No7*
51201-1In30.2701912No43*
50202-099.4%23.3553861No159*
49192-198.314.5424882No351*
48193-097.45.333531103No1,033*
47183-196.41.923532104No2,007*
46184-095.00.5155129050No4,738*
45174-192.80.194340170No8,432*
44164-288.7No435473110No16,189*
43165-183.6No2245351600No25,019*
42155-277.8No1165292110No43,142*
41156-168.9No0847142920No59,595*
40146-260.1No0437193640No88,790*
39147-149.2No012622437000.0%111,383*
38137-237.5No001522491310.078,949
148-040.4No0118224811100.070,419*
37138-129.2No08215019200.3168,572*
36128-220.9No04174728401.9109,105
139-023.1No05184826301.894,972*
35129-116.5No02154235707.0137,924
118-314.2No1133838908.573,007*
34119-212.1No012314214021.0123,425
1210-013.0No112344013020.1106,490*
331110-110.9No011244420140.8139,580
109-310.0No010204425243.976,529*
321010-29.3No09134232365.1115,652
1111-09.7No010164330264.199,248*
311011-19.2No0993739682.4118,935
910-39.1No0963344884.165,040*
30911-29.0No09427481293.489,281
1012-09.1No09529471093.076,825*
29912-19.1No09219511997.9129,296*
28812-29.0No09112502899.4106,530*
27813-19.0No0907453999.975,125*
26713-29.1No09043849100.055,876*
25714-19.1No09023060Yes35,469*
24614-29.1No912268Yes24,102*
23615-19.4No901576Yes13,848*
22515-28.5No801081Yes8,382*
21516-19.2No90685Yes4,301*
20416-28.6No9487Yes2,338*
19417-19.5No9288Yes1,065*
18317-29.5No10189Yes473*
17318-17.7No892Yes169*
16319-06.7No793Yes75*
15219-113.3No1387Yes30*
12-14OutNo100Yes19*
10022-00.3No0100Yes398
Total:22.0%0.0%01713252520841.3%2,562,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 1 Phoenix 4 +0.7
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 +0.0
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 -0.0
Philadelphia 2 Ottawa 3 (ot)+0.0
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Florida-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.6
Ottawa vs Halifax-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
New York vs Anaheim-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs Edmonton-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
Phoenix vs Winnipeg-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last four teams qualify for first overall pick

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516
54220-080191
53210-1100
52211-07129
51201-13047212
50202-023432761
49192-1154133920
48193-0524402470
47183-121332331730
46184-006223527810
45174-1021030351930
44164-2041735321110
43165-1017253824500
42155-2021334361320
41156-1004214027710
40146-2019313818300
157-00110323717300
39147-100317373111200
38137-20172537246100
148-00017263723610
37138-1002133234163000
127-301113035184000
36128-200418353011200
139-000419352910200
35129-1018253623610
118-30017243624810
34119-200212313417400
1210-000213313416400
331110-10041935291010
109-30041735301220
321010-201826372360
1111-0001927362150
311011-1003153434131
910-302133335141
30911-20162440264
1012-00162540254
29912-100214373710
811-30212363911
28812-2016284719
913-0016284618
27813-1002184931
26713-201104445
25714-1053659
24614-2022770
23615-1011881
22515-201287
21516-10793
20416-2496
19417-10298
18317-2298
10-17100
Total:0000124691112131312106