"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 +2.2
+2.6
-0.4
+0.2
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3 +0.8
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 -0.5
+0.9
Philadelphia 2 Ottawa 3 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.2
-0.0
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 -0.6
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 -0.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Calgary vs Ontario-2.0-0.4-0.3+1.5+1.7+1.8
-4.3-1.4-1.2+3.1+3.2+4.0
+0.2-0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3
Vancouver vs Edmonton+0.2-0.2*-0.3-0.5-0.4-0.1
Phoenix vs Winnipeg+0.1*+0.0*+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.1
Ottawa vs Halifax-0.4-0.3-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Los Angeles+0.2-0.4-0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.0
-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Denver-0.6-0.6-0.6*-0.0*+0.2+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ontario finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedLottery
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678EligibilityCount
61-65InYes100No814*
60182-1InYes1000No635*
59183-0In99.3%1000No1,791*
58173-1In98.0991No3,308*
57174-0100.0%96.49820No7,699*
56164-199.993.497300No12,601*
55154-299.988.494600No24,258*
54155-199.879.9891100No35,663*
53145-299.768.58217100No59,397*
52146-199.554.87225201No78,878*
51136-299.138.85835501No58,972
147-099.340.36233401No55,472*
50137-198.825.147429010No95,799
126-398.523.2424412110No42,054*
49127-298.213.0314719220No92,881
138-098.413.7354617120No86,473*
48128-197.66.0214627320No132,067
117-397.25.1174531530No61,894*
47118-296.51.9103939940No119,618
129-096.82.0134136730No107,758*
46119-195.60.5631441540No149,810
108-394.80.4426461850No72,814*
45109-293.50.1219462760No123,297
1110-094.20.1321472460No110,274*
441010-191.90.0112433680No147,368*
99-390.90.0094041900No61,931
43910-288.6No0534501110No104,900
1011-089.6No0636471010No94,208*
42911-186.3No0226581210No108,765
810-384.0No0222601420No52,366*
41811-281.5No0116651630No72,924
912-082.8No01186415200No66,359*
40812-177.7No0106717500No101,495*
39712-273.4No0668188100.0%41,254
813-074.8No076818710No37,782*
38713-170.2No04661711200.051,624*
37613-267.4No03651514300.237,069*
36614-165.9No02641116611.621,697*
35514-264.7No01647171016.713,710*
34515-165.0No16441513319.27,245*
33415-263.7No16321217638.74,015*
32416-165.2No1651917862.71,853*
31417-063.5No06305161580.7951*
30317-164.9No0652151892.5362*
29318-058.6No59142895.9169*
28218-157.5No58835Yes40*
27219-077.8No78617Yes18*
26119-175.0No7525Yes4
25120-050.0No5050Yes2*
23021-00.3No0396Yes398
Total:91.4%10.9%1821252771000.3%2,562,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 -0.5
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 +0.0
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 +0.0
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Ontario+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5
Philadelphia vs Denver+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Ottawa vs Halifax+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last four teams qualify for first overall pick

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516
60-65100
59183-0991
58173-1982
57174-09640
56164-19360
55154-288110
54155-1801910
53145-26928300
52146-15537710
51136-2394415200
147-040431420
50137-1254525500
126-3234426600
49127-213383513200
138-01438341220
48128-16273923500
117-352539246000
47118-221434341420
129-021535331320
46119-1162438256000
108-305223827710
45109-20211323616200
1110-0021334351420
441010-10052139287100
99-3004193830810
43910-2019303918300
1011-0011032381630
42911-1003183930910
810-30216393110100
41811-2017283821500
912-0017293820400
40812-1021536331320
711-3011334341520
39712-20052237278100
813-0005243626810
38713-10110293619400
37613-200316343113200
36614-1016223526910
35514-20110273521610
34515-1031532321630
33415-2062035271020
32416-101926372150
31417-013153433121
30317-1162537273
29318-041530419
28218-15186018
27219-0173350
26119-15050
25120-05050
23021-012673
Total:1113141514129532100000