Ontario Eagles Playoff Chances 1 50/50Beat Halifax 6-2, playoff odds up 4.3 to 91.4% 23 points 11 3-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Lottery Eligibility | 100.0* | Average seed | Halifax 2 Ontario 6 | +2.2 | | +2.6 | | -0.4 | | +0.2 | | Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 | -0.5 | | +0.9 | | | | | | Philadelphia 2 Ottawa 3 (ot) | *-0.2 | | *-0.2 | | | | -0.0 | | New York 0 Los Angeles 2 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 | | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Lottery Eligibility | 100.0* | Average seed | Calgary vs Ontario | -2.0-0.4-0.3+1.5+1.7+1.8 | | -4.3-1.4-1.2+3.1+3.2+4.0 | | +0.2-0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2 | | -0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.3 | | Vancouver vs Edmonton | +0.2-0.2*-0.3-0.5-0.4-0.1 | | | | | | | | Phoenix vs Winnipeg | +0.1*+0.0*+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | | Ottawa vs Halifax | | | -0.4-0.3-0.4*-0.0*+0.0+0.4 | | | | -0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Toronto vs Los Angeles | | | +0.2-0.4-0.7-0.6-0.7*+0.0 | | | | -0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Philadelphia vs Denver | | | -0.6-0.6-0.6*-0.0*+0.2+0.6 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Ontario finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Lottery | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Eligibility | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | -65 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | No | 814 | * | 60 | | 18 | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 635 | * | 59 | | 18 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 99.3 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,791 | * | 58 | | 17 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 98.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | No | 3,308 | * | 57 | | 17 | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 96.4 | | 98 | 2 | | | 0 | | | | No | 7,699 | * | 56 | | 16 | 4 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | 93.4 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | 0 | | | | No | 12,601 | * | 55 | | 15 | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | 88.4 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | 0 | | | | No | 24,258 | * | 54 | | 15 | 5 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 79.9 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | | 0 | | | | No | 35,663 | * | 53 | | 14 | 5 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | 68.5 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 59,397 | * | 52 | | 14 | 6 | - | 1 | 99.5 | | 54.8 | | 72 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | | | | No | 78,878 | * | 51 | | 13 | 6 | - | 2 | 99.1 | | 38.8 | | 58 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1 | | | | No | 58,972 | | | 14 | 7 | - | 0 | 99.3 | | 40.3 | | 62 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | | | | No | 55,472 | * | 50 | | 13 | 7 | - | 1 | 98.8 | | 25.1 | | 47 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 95,799 | | | 12 | 6 | - | 3 | 98.5 | | 23.2 | | 42 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 42,054 | * | 49 | | 12 | 7 | - | 2 | 98.2 | | 13.0 | | 31 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | | | No | 92,881 | | | 13 | 8 | - | 0 | 98.4 | | 13.7 | | 35 | 46 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | | | No | 86,473 | * | 48 | | 12 | 8 | - | 1 | 97.6 | | 6.0 | | 21 | 46 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | | | No | 132,067 | | | 11 | 7 | - | 3 | 97.2 | | 5.1 | | 17 | 45 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 61,894 | * | 47 | | 11 | 8 | - | 2 | 96.5 | | 1.9 | | 10 | 39 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 119,618 | | | 12 | 9 | - | 0 | 96.8 | | 2.0 | | 13 | 41 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 107,758 | * | 46 | | 11 | 9 | - | 1 | 95.6 | | 0.5 | | 6 | 31 | 44 | 15 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 149,810 | | | 10 | 8 | - | 3 | 94.8 | | 0.4 | | 4 | 26 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 0 | | | No | 72,814 | * | 45 | | 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 93.5 | | 0.1 | | 2 | 19 | 46 | 27 | 6 | 0 | | | No | 123,297 | | | 11 | 10 | - | 0 | 94.2 | | 0.1 | | 3 | 21 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 0 | | | No | 110,274 | * | 44 | | 10 | 10 | - | 1 | 91.9 | | 0.0 | | 1 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 8 | 0 | | | No | 147,368 | * | | 9 | 9 | - | 3 | 90.9 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 9 | 40 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | No | 61,931 | | 43 | | 9 | 10 | - | 2 | 88.6 | | No | 0 | 5 | 34 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | No | 104,900 | | | 10 | 11 | - | 0 | 89.6 | | No | 0 | 6 | 36 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | No | 94,208 | * | 42 | | 9 | 11 | - | 1 | 86.3 | | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | No | 108,765 | | | 8 | 10 | - | 3 | 84.0 | | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | No | 52,366 | * | 41 | | 8 | 11 | - | 2 | 81.5 | | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 65 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | No | 72,924 | | | 9 | 12 | - | 0 | 82.8 | | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 66,359 | * | 40 | | 8 | 12 | - | 1 | 77.7 | | No | | 0 | 10 | 67 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 101,495 | * | 39 | | 7 | 12 | - | 2 | 73.4 | | No | | 0 | 6 | 68 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 41,254 | | | 8 | 13 | - | 0 | 74.8 | | No | | 0 | 7 | 68 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 37,782 | * | 38 | | 7 | 13 | - | 1 | 70.2 | | No | | 0 | 4 | 66 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | | 51,624 | * | 37 | | 6 | 13 | - | 2 | 67.4 | | No | | 0 | 3 | 65 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | | 37,069 | * | 36 | | 6 | 14 | - | 1 | 65.9 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 64 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1.6 | | 21,697 | * | 35 | | 5 | 14 | - | 2 | 64.7 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 64 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6.7 | | 13,710 | * | 34 | | 5 | 15 | - | 1 | 65.0 | | No | | | 1 | 64 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 19.2 | | 7,245 | * | 33 | | 4 | 15 | - | 2 | 63.7 | | No | | | 1 | 63 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 38.7 | | 4,015 | * | 32 | | 4 | 16 | - | 1 | 65.2 | | No | | | 1 | 65 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 62.7 | | 1,853 | * | 31 | | 4 | 17 | - | 0 | 63.5 | | No | | | 0 | 63 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 80.7 | | 951 | * | 30 | | 3 | 17 | - | 1 | 64.9 | | No | | | 0 | 65 | | 2 | 15 | 18 | 92.5 | | 362 | * | 29 | | 3 | 18 | - | 0 | 58.6 | | No | | | | 59 | | | 14 | 28 | 95.9 | | 169 | * | 28 | | 2 | 18 | - | 1 | 57.5 | | No | | | | 58 | | | 8 | 35 | Yes | 40 | * | 27 | | 2 | 19 | - | 0 | 77.8 | | No | | | | 78 | | | 6 | 17 | Yes | 18 | * | 26 | | 1 | 19 | - | 1 | 75.0 | | No | | | | 75 | | | | 25 | Yes | 4 | | 25 | | 1 | 20 | - | 0 | 50.0 | | No | | | | 50 | | | | 50 | Yes | 2 | * | 23 | | 0 | 21 | - | 0 | 0.3 | | No | | | | 0 | | | 3 | 96 | Yes | 398 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 91.4 | % | 10.9 | % | 18 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | % | 2,562,736 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Halifax 2 Ontario 6 | -0.5 | | New York 0 Los Angeles 2 | +0.0 | | Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 | +0.0 | | Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Calgary vs Ontario | +0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5 | | Philadelphia vs Denver | +0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Ottawa vs Halifax | +0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Toronto vs Los Angeles | -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfLast four teams qualify for first overall pick | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | -65 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 18 | 3 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 17 | 3 | - | 1 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 17 | 4 | - | 0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 16 | 4 | - | 1 | 93 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 15 | 4 | - | 2 | 88 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 15 | 5 | - | 1 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 14 | 5 | - | 2 | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 14 | 6 | - | 1 | 55 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 13 | 6 | - | 2 | 39 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 7 | - | 0 | 40 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 13 | 7 | - | 1 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 6 | - | 3 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 12 | 7 | - | 2 | 13 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 8 | - | 0 | 14 | 38 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 12 | 8 | - | 1 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 7 | - | 3 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 11 | 8 | - | 2 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 11 | 9 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 10 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 11 | 10 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 10 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 9 | 9 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 43 | | 9 | 10 | - | 2 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 10 | 11 | - | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 42 | | 9 | 11 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8 | 10 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 41 | | 8 | 11 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 9 | 12 | - | 0 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 40 | | 8 | 12 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 7 | 11 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 39 | | 7 | 12 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 8 | 13 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 38 | | 7 | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 37 | | 6 | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 36 | | 6 | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | 35 | | 5 | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 34 | | 5 | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | 33 | | 4 | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | | 4 | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 31 | | 4 | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 30 | | 3 | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 27 | 3 | 29 | | 3 | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 15 | 30 | 41 | 9 | 28 | | 2 | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 18 | 60 | 18 | 27 | | 2 | 19 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 33 | 50 | 26 | | 1 | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 25 | | 1 | 20 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 23 | | 0 | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 26 | 73 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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