How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 -0.7
+8.5
-0.2
Philadelphia 2 Ottawa 3 (ot)*-0.2
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3 +0.1
*+0.1
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 -1.2
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 -1.2
+0.1
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 +0.7
-0.0
Pittsburgh 1 Phoenix 4 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Lottery Eligibility100.0*Average seed
Ottawa vs Halifax-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.3+0.4
-0.0No*No*-0.0-0.0+0.0
+8.3+0.9*+0.5-7.4-7.2-7.2
-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary vs Ontario+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Florida+0.8+1.4+0.9*+0.4*-0.0-1.0
New York vs Anaheim+0.3+1.2+1.4*+0.3+0.7-0.6
Phoenix vs Winnipeg-0.2+0.8+1.5+1.0+0.9-0.2
+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Denver-0.4*-0.3*+0.1*+0.2+0.5+0.4
Vancouver vs Edmonton*+0.0+0.6+0.6*+0.5+0.7-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Halifax finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedLottery
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678EligibilityCount
51210-0In65.4%80201No399
50200-1In66.7100No3
49201-082.8%27.65524317No29*
48191-186.711.73543813No60*
47192-067.04.51633162321No267*
46182-158.31.1726223402No617*
45183-045.90.23162164950No1,772*
44173-136.4No191895670No3,303*
43174-026.6No03131061120No7,627*
42164-117.9No0171062191No12,615*
41154-211.4No038592720No24,614*
40155-16.3No015513750No36,098*
39145-23.3No00342451000.0%59,442*
38146-11.5No00130501710.179,092*
37136-20.6No0119512820.559,029
147-00.8No0121512620.556,443*
36137-10.4No0012473642.695,499
126-30.3No009434163.342,075*
35127-20.3No00536471010.593,623
138-00.3No0063846910.085,998*
34128-10.3No00329521625.1131,566
117-30.3No00223542027.361,708*
33118-20.2No0116542948.7142,593*
129-00.2No00120552445.883,320
32119-10.3No0011513769.2149,274
108-30.2No008484471.372,555*
31109-20.2No005435286.2123,413
1110-00.2No006454985.4110,828*
301010-10.2No003366194.6140,272
99-30.2No002326695.368,447*
29910-20.2No001257498.4104,740
1011-00.2No001277198.394,343*
28911-10.2No000198099.6108,387
810-30.2No00168499.752,687*
27811-20.2No00128899.973,668
912-00.2No00138799.965,941*
26812-10.2No00892100.0101,453*
25712-20.2No00595Yes41,332
813-00.2No00594100.038,487*
24713-10.2No00397Yes51,973*
23613-20.3No0298Yes36,716*
22614-10.3No0199Yes21,809*
21514-20.2No0099Yes13,924*
20515-10.3No00100Yes6,980*
19415-20.2No00100Yes4,066*
18416-10.3No00100Yes1,829*
17417-00.1No0100Yes934*
16317-11.0No199Yes292*
11-15OutNo100Yes196*
9021-00.3No0100Yes398
Total:0.9%0.0%0001616324560.5%2,562,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Halifax 2 Ontario 6 +0.6
New York 0 Los Angeles 2 -0.1
Winnipeg 1 Calgary 4 -0.1
Toronto 3 Edmonton 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Halifax+0.5+0.1+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Florida+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0
New York vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Phoenix vs Winnipeg-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Last four teams qualify for first overall pick

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516
51210-065323
50200-16733
49201-0285517
48191-11242388
47192-0422362791
46182-11835341840
45183-0031735311120
44173-11624362581
43174-001929352040
42164-10031533331420
41154-2005223726810
40155-1019283720500
39145-200215343214200
38146-1005213627910
37136-2019283620500
147-000110293619400
36137-100315333213200
126-30214323315300
35127-20152136279100
138-0016223626810
34128-100110283520500
117-30019273622500
33118-20031533321420
129-00031634321320
32119-101624372560
108-301622372770
31109-2002123237161
1110-0002123236151
301010-10052241284
99-30042141294
29910-200211364110
1011-00021236419
28911-1005274918
810-3005265019
27811-202175130
912-0002185128
26812-10194842
711-30194843
25712-2044055
813-00054154
24713-1023167
23613-2012376
22614-101684
21514-201089
20515-10793
19415-2496
18416-1298
17417-0199
16317-1199
9-15100
Total:0000012357101214171812