Anaheim Attack Playoff Chances 1

Beat Vancouver 3-1, playoff odds up 0.005 to 99.98%

14 points 7 7-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery Eligibility	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3					No

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Lottery Eligibility	100.0*	Average seed
New York vs Anaheim	-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0		+0.2No*NoNoNoNo		-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0
Philadelphia vs Denver							-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed								Lottery
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Eligibility		Count

58		22	0		-	0	In		37.5	%	74	25	1						No		4,500
57		21	0		-	1	In		17.5		56	38	6						No		5,443
56		21	1		-	0	In		6.4		40	48	12						No		34,973	*
55		20	1		-	1	In		1.4		24	51	24						No		47,923	*
54		20	2		-	0	In		0.2		15	50	35	0					No		131,210
		19	1		-	2	In		0.1		11	48	42						No		32,414	*
53		19	2		-	1	In		0.0		7	40	53	0					No		180,043
		18	1		-	3	In		0.0		5	36	59						No		13,100	*
52		19	3		-	0	In		0.0		3	32	64	0					No		340,953
		18	2		-	2	In		No		2	28	70	0					No		114,806	*
51		18	3		-	1	In		No		1	20	79	0					No		421,361
		17	2		-	3	In		No		1	17	83	0					No		41,612	*
50		18	4		-	0	In		No		0	14	86	0					No		596,433
		17	3		-	2	In		No		0	11	88	0					No		240,917	*
49		17	4		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	7	93	0	0				No		654,757
		16	3		-	3	In		No		0	6	94	1					No		76,655	*
48		17	5		-	0	100.0		No		0	4	95	1	0				No		743,348
		16	4		-	2	In		No		0	3	96	1					No		318,966
		15	3		-	4	In		No		0	3	96	1					No		16,296	*
47		16	5		-	1	100.0		No		0	2	96	2	0				No		723,995
		15	4		-	3	In		No		0	1	96	2					No		94,384	*
46		16	6		-	0	100.0		No		0	1	95	4	0				No		684,413
		15	5		-	2	100.0		No		0	1	95	4	0				No		311,609
		14	4		-	4	In		No			1	95	5					No		17,147	*
45		15	6		-	1	100.0		No			0	92	8	0				No		586,156
		14	5		-	3	In		No			0	92	8					No		79,812	*
44		15	7		-	0	100.0		No			0	88	12	0				No		475,242
		14	6		-	2	100.0		No			0	87	13	0				No		219,522
		13	5		-	4	In		No			0	86	13					No		12,861	*
43		14	7		-	1	100.0		No			0	80	19	0				No		355,143
		13	6		-	3	100.0		No			0	80	20	0				No		49,273	*
42		14	8		-	0	100.0		No			0	73	27	0				No		252,163
		13	7		-	2	100.0		No			0	72	28	0				No		122,868	*
41		13	8		-	1	100.0		No			0	62	38	0				No		164,851
		12	7		-	3	100.0		No			0	61	39	0				No		22,108	*
40		13	9		-	0	99.9		No			0	52	48	0				No		103,344
		12	8		-	2	99.9		No				51	49	0				No		49,176	*
39		12	9		-	1	99.9		No			0	40	60	0				No		65,794	*
38		12	10		-	0	99.8		No			0	31	69	0				No		33,119
		11	9		-	2	99.8		No				31	69	0				No		14,896	*
37		11	10		-	1	99.7		No			0	22	77	0				No		18,039	*
36		11	11		-	0	99.5		No				15	85	1				No		11,915	*
35		10	11		-	1	98.9		No				9	90	1				No		3,903	*
34		10	12		-	0	98.5		No				6	93	2				No		2,311	*
33		9	12		-	1	97.2		No				4	93	3				No		649	*
32		9	13		-	0	99.1		No				2	97	1				No		344	*
31		8	13		-	1	96.7		No					97	3				No		91	*
30		8	14		-	0	97.4		No					97	3				No		38	*
27	-29						In		No					100					No		13	*
14		0	22		-	0	0.2		No					0			2	98	Yes		1,319

Total:							100.0	%	0.1	%	1	8	83	8	0		0	0	0.0	%	8,492,208

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3	-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York vs Anaheim	+0.5+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.0
Ottawa vs Halifax	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Denver	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

Last four teams qualify for first overall pick

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

58	22	0		-	0	37	46	15	1	0
57	21	0		-	1	17	45	30	7	0
56	21	1		-	0	6	31	42	18	2	0
55	20	1		-	1	1	14	38	35	11	1	0
54	20	2		-	0	0	4	23	42	25	5	0
	19	1		-	2	0	3	20	41	29	6	0
53	19	2		-	1	0	1	9	32	41	16	1
52	19	3		-	0	0	0	2	17	42	32	6	0
	18	2		-	2		0	2	15	40	35	7	0
51	18	3		-	1		0	0	6	30	46	17	0
	17	2		-	3		0	0	5	28	48	19	0
50	18	4		-	0		0	0	2	17	49	32	0	0
	17	3		-	2		0	0	1	15	48	35	1	0
49	17	4		-	1			0	0	7	40	50	2	0
	16	3		-	3			0	0	6	38	53	2	0
48	17	5		-	0				0	2	29	63	5	0
	16	4		-	2				0	2	26	65	6	0
	15	3		-	4				0	2	24	67	7	0
47	16	5		-	1				0	1	16	70	13	0	0
	15	4		-	3				0	1	15	70	14	0	0
46	16	6		-	0				0	0	8	68	22	1	0
	15	5		-	2				0	0	8	67	24	1	0
	14	4		-	4					0	7	65	26	2	0
45	15	6		-	1					0	3	58	35	4	0
	14	5		-	3					0	3	56	37	4	0
44	15	7		-	0					0	1	44	45	9	0
	14	6		-	2					0	1	42	46	10	1
43	14	7		-	1						0	29	51	18	2
	13	6		-	3						0	27	51	20	2
42	14	8		-	0						0	17	50	29	5
	13	7		-	2						0	16	49	30	5
41	13	8		-	1						0	8	41	40	11	0
	12	7		-	3						0	7	40	41	11
40	13	9		-	0						0	4	31	46	19	0
	12	8		-	2							3	30	47	20	0
39	12	9		-	1						0	1	19	48	32	0
38	12	10		-	0							0	11	42	46	0
	11	9		-	2							0	11	42	47	0
37	11	10		-	1							0	6	35	59	0
36	11	11		-	0							0	2	25	72	0
35	10	11		-	1								1	17	81	1
34	10	12		-	0								0	10	87	2
33	9	12		-	1									7	88	6
32	9	13		-	0									4	91	5
31	8	13		-	1									1	87	12
30	8	14		-	0										84	16
29	7	14		-	1										67	33
28	7	15		-	0										100
27	6	15		-	1										67		33
14	0	22		-	0															3	97

Total:						0	0	1	3	8	19	42	18	6	2	0	0			0	0