"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Cross Regionals100.0*Average seed
Santa Clara Spo 1 Force 04G I 0 -4.7
-4.7
-0.1
Force South 04G I 0 Force 05G Jr. E 0 +3.3
+3.3
+0.2
Santa Clara Spo 6 Pajaro Valley Y 1 -3.1
-3.1
-0.1
Pajaro Valley Y 1 Force South 04G I 6 -1.8
-1.8
-0.1
MVLA 04G Barcel 2 Force 04G I 2 +0.4
+0.4
+0.1
Week of 5/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Cross Regionals100.0*Average seed
Force 05G Jr. E 3 MVLA 04G Barcel 0 +10.2
+10.2
+0.4
Santa Clara Spo 0 Force 05G Jr. E 0 +3.8
+3.8
+0.1
Force South 04G I 2 MVLA 04G Barcel 0 -0.9
-0.9
-0.1
Week of 5/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Cross Regionals100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel 0 Santa Clara Spo 1 -14.1
-14.1
-0.2
Pajaro Valley Y 1 Force 05G Jr. E 5 +10.5
+10.5
+0.2
Force 05G Jr. E 11 Pajaro Valley Y 1 +10.1
+10.1
+0.2
Force 04G I 0 Force South 04G I 1 -3.3
-3.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Force 05G Jr. E vs Force 04G I+27.1NoNo
+27.1NoNo
+0.3-0.4-0.8
Force South 04G I vs Santa Clara Spo+19.2+19.2No
+19.2+19.2No
+0.1+0.2-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Force 05G Jr. E finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCrossChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleRegionals123456Count
221-0-068.2%68.2%6832106,892,202
200-1-0NoNo10051,381,994
190-0-1NoNo613919,218,836
Total:41.1%41.1%41554177,493,032
Points
Chance Will Win Championship