FORCE SOUTH 04G I Title Chances 2016Spring 50/50
Tied CV SJ EARTHQUAK 2-2, title odds down 3.9 to 8.5%
5 points 1-2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/23 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Cross Regionals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FORCE SOUTH 04G I 1 FORCE NORTH 04G I 1 | -2.6 | -3.2 | -0.2 | |||
| FORCE SOUTH 04G I 2 CV SJ EARTHQUAK 2 | -2.6 | -3.5 | -0.2 | |||
| SANTA CLARA SPO 1 FORCE 05G 2 | -1.2 | -0.5 | ||||
| FORCE NORTH 04G I 2 MVLA 04 BARCELO 0 | -1.0 | -2.0 | -0.0 | |||
| FORCE 04G I 1 SANTA CLARA SPO 2 | -0.7 | -1.9 | -0.1 | |||
| SF VIKINGS SFVS 0 PENINSULA SC IN 0 | +0.4 | +0.7 | +0.0 | |||
| FORCE 04G I 2 MVLA 04 BARCELO 2 | +0.3 | +0.7 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 4/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Cross Regionals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FORCE SOUTH 04G I vs PENINSULA SC IN | +7.5-2.4-5.9 | +18.5-4.0-15.8 | +1.2-0.2-1.1 | |||
| SF VIKINGS SFVS vs FORCE SOUTH 04G I | -5.3-2.4+6.8 | -13.3-4.1+16.0 | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | |||
| FORCE 05G vs FORCE 04G I | -2.4+0.7+2.0 | -1.9+0.3+1.7 | ||||
| CV SJ EARTHQUAK vs FORCE 05G | +1.6+1.0-2.2 | +0.1+0.7-0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| FORCE NORTH 04G I vs SANTA CLARA SPO | -0.8+1.2*-0.0 | -0.6+1.4-0.3 | ||||
| PENINSULA SC IN vs SMC STAR 04G GOLD | -0.2+0.5-0.1 | -1.1+1.4+0.2 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| SMC STAR 04G GOLD vs CV SJ EARTHQUAK | -0.2+0.4-0.1 | -0.5+1.2-0.3 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FORCE SOUTH 04G I finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Cross | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Regionals | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | 40,452 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 94.7 | % | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 149,791 | ||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 82.1 | 100.0 | % | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 226,134 | |||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 73.6 | 100.0 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 249,964 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 43.4 | 99.2 | 43 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 750,914 | |||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 18.9 | 94.1 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 563,993 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 29.7 | 97.6 | 30 | 47 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 221,693 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 8.4 | 84.1 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 999,920 | ||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.9 | 48.9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,499,799 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 2.2 | 64.3 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 111,054 | ||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 751,229 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 25.7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 665,132 | ||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,498,593 | |||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 7.7 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 29,314 | ||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1,500,595 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 222,932 | |||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 666,585 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 564,411 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | 1 | 17 | 45 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 3,267 | |||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 1,001,098 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 29,525 | ||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 36 | 6 | 751,423 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 3 | 110,568 | |||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 51 | 26 | 225,152 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 30 | 48 | 17 | 222,408 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 44 | 250,379 | |||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 26 | 73 | 150,167 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 40,648 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 8.5 | % | 30.7 | % | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13,497,140 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
