CV SJ EARTHQUAKES 04G ACADEMY Title Chances 2016Spring 50/50
Tied FORCE SOUTH 04G I 2-2, title odds down 2.6 to 3.9%
5 points 1-2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/23 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Cross Regionals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FORCE SOUTH 04G I 2 CV SJ EARTHQUAK 2 | -2.1 | -4.0 | -0.2 | |||
| SANTA CLARA SPO 1 FORCE 05G 2 | -0.5 | -0.5 | ||||
| FORCE SOUTH 04G I 1 FORCE NORTH 04G I 1 | +0.5 | +1.0 | ||||
| FORCE 04G I 1 SANTA CLARA SPO 2 | -0.5 | -1.6 | -0.0 | |||
| FORCE NORTH 04G I 2 MVLA 04 BARCELO 0 | -0.4 | -1.5 | -0.0 | |||
| SF VIKINGS SFVS 0 PENINSULA SC IN 0 | +0.3 | +0.7 | +0.1 | |||
| FORCE 04G I 2 MVLA 04 BARCELO 2 | +0.2 | +0.6 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 4/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Cross Regionals | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CV SJ EARTHQUAK vs FORCE 05G | +5.0-2.1-3.6 | +14.6-4.7-11.4 | +1.1-0.3-1.0 | |||
| SMC STAR 04G GOLD vs CV SJ EARTHQUAK | -3.2-1.6+4.2 | -11.7-4.2+14.5 | -1.1-0.2+1.2 | |||
| FORCE 05G vs FORCE 04G I | -1.5+0.4+1.2 | -1.5+0.3+1.3 | ||||
| FORCE NORTH 04G I vs SANTA CLARA SPO | -0.1+0.6-0.3 | -0.7+1.4-0.2 | ||||
| SF VIKINGS SFVS vs FORCE SOUTH 04G I | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | +1.3+0.6-1.7 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||
| FORCE SOUTH 04G I vs PENINSULA SC IN | -0.2+0.3*+0.0 | -0.3+1.2-0.5 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| PENINSULA SC IN vs SMC STAR 04G GOLD | -0.1+0.3-0.1 | -0.9+1.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CV SJ EARTHQUAK finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Cross | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Regionals | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 90.7 | % | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | 103,226 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 59.9 | 99.8 | % | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 334,032 | ||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 26.9 | 97.1 | 27 | 49 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 500,222 | |||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 15.8 | 92.1 | 16 | 44 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 444,699 | ||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1.8 | 59.8 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,335,858 | |||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 20.8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1,000,890 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 35.7 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 296,115 | ||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1,332,128 | ||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2,002,752 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 98,545 | ||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 999,659 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 592,025 | |||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1,333,923 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 13,244 | ||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 3 | 1,334,250 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 32 | 45 | 17 | 1 | 98,252 | |||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 35 | 45 | 13 | 500,701 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 296,446 | |||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 27 | 443,779 | |||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 42 | 51 | 332,756 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 103,638 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 3.9 | % | 18.7 | % | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13,497,140 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
