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San Jose Earthquakes Pre-DA 05G Title Chances 2017Fall 50/50
Beat Santa Clara Spo 5-1, title odds up 3.2 to 5.2%
6 points 2-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/7 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | NPL Champions League | 100.0* | NPL 2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santa Clara Spo 3 California Thor 3 | +0.2 | +1.1 | -0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 10/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | NPL Champions League | 100.0* | NPL 2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa Unit | -2.7+1.1+1.5 | +2.2+0.3-2.6 | -0.7*+0.0+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Force North 04G vs Santa Clara Spo | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | -0.8+0.8-0.1 | +1.0-1.4+0.5 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the San Jose Earthq finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | NPL Champions | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | NPL 2 | Count | |||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 73.5 | % | Yes | 74 | 26 | 0 | No | 191,404 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 43.7 | Yes | 44 | 53 | 3 | No | 802,769 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 24.7 | 100.0 | % | 25 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 748,094 | ||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 11.1 | 100.0 | 11 | 61 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,296,180 | ||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 98.1 | 2 | 32 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,409,487 | ||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 77.5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,118,314 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 92.0 | 0 | 16 | 44 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 929,152 | ||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 2,590,639 | |||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 10.1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 2,408,835 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 26.2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 249,738 | |||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 8.9 | 929,921 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 15.6 | 746,860 | ||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 6 | 47.3 | 1,296,462 | ||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 56 | 24 | 80.3 | 803,762 | |||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 47 | 50 | 96.5 | 191,525 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 5.2 | % | 51.9 | % | 5 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 10.0 | % | 16,713,142 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
