"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Pleasanton RAGE 04 ECNL Title Chances 2017Fall 50/50
Tied Palo Alto SC 04 0-0, title odds down 3.2 to 6.4%
8 points 2-2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/7 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | NPL Champions League | 100.0* | NPL 2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santa Clara Spo 3 California Thor 3 | +0.4 | +1.5 | -0.3 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 10/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | NPL Champions League | 100.0* | NPL 2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa Unit | -3.4+1.2+2.1 | +2.6+0.5-3.1 | -0.6-0.0+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Force North 04G vs Santa Clara Spo | -0.1+0.0*+0.0 | -1.1+1.0+0.1 | +0.6-0.6+0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Pleasanton RAGE finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | NPL Champions | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | NPL 2 | Count | |||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 60.5 | % | Yes | 61 | 39 | 1 | No | 579,038 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 27.3 | 100.0 | % | 27 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,852,742 | ||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 8.7 | 99.9 | 9 | 53 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,721,033 | ||||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2.9 | 99.0 | 3 | 40 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,992,225 | |||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 85.4 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,705,021 | |||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 1,722,327 | |||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 60.8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 715,079 | |||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 1,992,556 | ||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 14.0 | 1,853,685 | |||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 46 | 10 | 56.6 | 579,436 | ||||||||
| Total: | 6.4 | % | 63.9 | % | 6 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3.6 | % | 16,713,142 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
