"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Luke 95.1 Dan 97.38 -5.0
-0.6
Jon 116.16 Gravy 118.56 -1.4
-0.1
Kashif 101.56 Faisal 110.16 +0.3
Brad 110.9 Brian 162.64 -0.1
+0.1
Blake 115.04 Josh 98.5 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Luke vs Josh+1.0-1.0
+0.5-0.5
Niphon vs Dan+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0
Kashif vs Gravy+0.2-0.1
Brian vs Faisal+0.1-0.1
Brad vs Chris-0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Luke finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
86-099.6%052841215027,355
75-170.900424432540321,147
64-28.8008383913102,004,993
53-30.1004274919106,428,052
42-4Out02255321011,061,702
31-5Out1306719,633,735
20-6Out484113,296,024
Total:1.3%00000138193136232,773,008
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs